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Tarefa causcibench_real.q043

causcibench_realagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T171059Z-suite-causcibench_real-scripted-ded01d

Veredito

falhouDecidida pela verificação 1: figura da resposta próxima, fora da tolerância.
0.002518715642 vs -0.013

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): iv (two-stage least squares)

Pergunta feita ao analista

Does smaller class sizes lead to higher scores in math tests?

Resposta

Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.classize = 0,002519.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

causcibench_real.gold.q043

Fonte
CauSciBench real split, data/metadata_json/real_input.json at d9bb43a, id 43
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
real_input.json, record id 43: fields effect and std_error
Trecho
id 43 effect -0.013 std_error 0.058
Valor como publicado
-0.013
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.058
Valor
-0,013-0.013 (se 0,0580.058)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Written by scripts/freeze_causcibench_real.py from the pinned file; equal to the `answer` and `std_error` of the same id in data/metadata_csv/real_input.csv at the pin.
sha256 da cópia lida
c1f4c8930675afff63d816d8ed066941ae92697e7bfc31e9d38519398dd80438 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/causalNLP/CauSciBench/d9bb43a2d90f261978cc5ac0b628c0484f6e8956/data/metadata_json/real_input.json
Licença
CauSciBench repository (MIT for code; metadata as published in the repository)
  • #1 figura da resposta próxima: -0,013-0.013 · relativa 0.05

Verificações

Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
#VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
0resposta com lastro
every number backed
obrigatóriapassou—[]———
1figura da resposta próxima
0.002518715642 vs -0.013
obrigatóriafalhou-0,013-0.0130,002518720.0025187156424833494relativa 0.05causcibench_real.gold.q043call_ce9109ac

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

caminho de referência do item · metadata_rule

Referência: infer.iv_2slsChamada do agente: infer.iv_2sls (call_ce9109ac)igual
Argumentos da referência e do agente
ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
cluster——não fixado pela referência
dataset"angrist_using_maimonides""angrist_using_maimonides"igual
endog["classize"]["classize"]igual
exog["tipuach"]["tipuach"]igual
instruments["class_section"]["class_section"]igual
level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
se—"HC1"não fixado pela referência
subset——não fixado pela referência
y"avgmath""avgmath"igual

Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

  1. 0Início

    Does smaller class sizes lead to higher scores in math tests?

    angrist_using_maimonides (agent)

    The dataset contains data on 5th graders enrolled in Israeli public elementary schools. The schools had imposed an upper limit on the class size of 40. In case the class size exceeds 40 students, another class is set up. To ensure balance across multiple classes of the same grade, students are split roughly evenly. In addition to including information about the school and the class size, the dataset also includes data on student performance in verbal (Hebrew reading) and mathematics tests. Variables include: schlcode: School identifier code towncode: Town identifier code townname: Town name townid: Town identifier (same as towncode) popcode: Population/administrative code used for linkage grade: Grade level (e.g., 3, 4, 5) classid: Class identifier within school and grade c_size: Total number of 5th graders in the school classize: Total number of students in each class, post-splitting if enrollment is greater than 40 c_boys: Number of boys in 5th grade c_girls: Number of girls in 5th grade c_numcl: Total number of classes in the school c_type: Total number of classes in the 5th grade cohsize: Total number of students in the 5th grade (same as c_size) classct: Count of classes in the 5th grade (same as c_num5rd) c_num5rd: Total number of classes in the 5th grade (same as c_type) mrkgrm5: Average reading (verbal) score for grade 5 ngrm5: Number of fifth-grade reading test takers nmth5: Number of fifth-grade math test takers mathsize: Number of students who took the math test in the class avgmath: Average composite math score in the class (1-100 scale) passmath: Share of students passing the math test in the class verbsize: Number of students who took the reading test in the class avgverb: Average composite reading (verbal) score in the class (1-100 scale) passverb: Share of students passing the reading (verbal) test in the class studchk: Data quality/student consistency check indicator (1 = no missing data) impute: Indicator that class-level averages were imputed from school totals tip_a: Percent of disadvantaged students (same as tip_s) tip_s: Percent of disadvantaged students tipuach: Percent of disadvantaged students (same as tip_s)

    file dc453570d77ed9822a3ba40616fc1e604dd805b036e71954a3a0bf894ca2f8b3 · frame —
  2. 1Turno do modelo
    call_61bb428creferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Texto visível

    causcibench_metadata_rule/1: iv

    Chamadas pedidas
    • infer.iv_2sls
      {
        "dataset": "angrist_using_maimonides",
        "endog": [
          "classize"
        ],
        "exog": [
          "tipuach"
        ],
        "instruments": [
          "class_section"
        ],
        "y": "avgmath"
      }
  3. 2Ferramenta
    infer.iv_2slsv0.1.0call_ce9109acdecidido pelo modeloreexecutável

    Motivo: causcibench_metadata_rule/1: iv

    Argumentos
    {
      "cluster": null,
      "dataset": "angrist_using_maimonides",
      "endog": [
        "classize"
      ],
      "exog": [
        "tipuach"
      ],
      "instruments": [
        "class_section"
      ],
      "level": 0.95,
      "se": "HC1",
      "subset": null,
      "y": "avgmath"
    }
    Figuras call_ce9109ac
    ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
    coef.classize
    2SLS effect of classize on avgmath
    0,00251872 0.00251871564248334940,05053520.05053517092095493-0,0965878 – 0,101625
    Diagnósticos
    • first_stage_F.classize = 1.355,181355.1751702192244
    • partial_r2.classize = 0,4502060.4502056229987632
    • weak_instrument = false
    • n_obs = 2.0242024
    • se_type = "HC1"
    • n_clusters = —
    Tabelas (3)
    {
      "coefficients": [
        {
          "ci_high": 75.40636524114048,
          "ci_low": 68.82496533859818,
          "coef": 72.11566528986933,
          "p": 3.261940535338064e-287,
          "se": 1.6779538895084825,
          "t": 42.97833554353149,
          "term": "Intercept"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": -0.3099327340096503,
          "ci_low": -0.3808057447080057,
          "coef": -0.345369239358828,
          "p": 5.420543959652141e-75,
          "se": 0.018069353894836902,
          "t": -19.113535623291604,
          "term": "tipuach"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.10162518425693252,
          "ci_low": -0.09658775297196583,
          "coef": 0.0025187156424833494,
          "p": 0.9602541422158666,
          "se": 0.05053517092095493,
          "t": 0.04984084542670337,
          "term": "classize"
        }
      ],
      "first_stage": [
        {
          "ci_high": 0.7453406674044843,
          "ci_low": 0.669943637989315,
          "coef": 0.7076421526968997,
          "endog": "classize",
          "instrument": "class_section",
          "p": 1.7714317295044745e-227,
          "se": 0.019222770328194007,
          "t": 36.812703924314285
        }
      ],
      "reduced_form": [
        {
          "ci_high": 0.07192830192532984,
          "ci_low": -0.06836360320677334,
          "coef": 0.001782349359278244,
          "instrument": "class_section",
          "p": 0.9602620896631152,
          "se": 0.03576797510694268,
          "t": 0.04983087116195975
        }
      ]
    }
    • 5 rows were dropped because one of 'avgmath', 'classize', 'class_section', 'tipuach' was missing
    Digests dos dados
    angrist_using_maimonides 872ee3e71c86dc0b6554fa04b52d9469475909091a9fd16f4e2db508d3391e3f
    sha256 do resultado
    717a1c8c0933f72525b8eb44766f7012fc8bee30bed278db37bd395e03a1e1a7
  4. 3Turno do modelo
    call_89310b9breferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Chamadas pedidas
    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
      {
        "answer": "Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.classize = 0,002519.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": [
          "call_ce9109ac:coef.classize"
        ]
      }
  5. 4Guarda
    resposta aceita
    Números encontrados
    0,002519
    Sem lastro
    —
    Não citados
    —
    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
  6. 5Resposta

    Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.classize = 0,002519.

    Figuras citadas: call_ce9109ac:coef.classize · Parada: answered
    Figura da resposta: call_ce9109ac:coef.classize = 0,002518720.0025187156424833494 (se 0,05053520.05053517092095493)
  7. 6Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
  8. 7Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória0.002518715642 vs -0.013

Épocas × verificações

Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
#01
Época 1passoufalhou

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

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