Tarefa causcibench_real.q104

Veredito

Pergunta feita ao analista

What is the effect of receiving subsidized training on 30-month income of women?

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Trajetória

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1. 0Início

   What is the effect of receiving subsidized training on 30-month income of women?

   abadie_instrumental_variables (agent)

   This dataset was constructed to measure how subsidized Job Training Partnership Act (JTPA) programs affect not just average earnings but different points (quantiles) of the trainee earnings distribution. Data collection process: Data are drawn from the National JTPA Study - a large encouragement design randomized controlled trial under the JTPA. Eligible individuals were randomly assigned to be offered training services (treatment group) or excluded for 18 months (control group), with roughly 60% of those offered actually receiving training. Baseline demographic and economic covariates were collected before randomization, and earnings plus participation data were tracked for 30 months post-assignment via administrative records and follow-up interviews. Dataset variables: V1: Unique identifier for individuals income: Individual's income (continuous, ranges from 0 to ~155,760) JTPA training offer: Whether the person was offered JTPA training (binary: 1 = yes, 0 = no) JTPA training participation: Whether the person actually participated in JTPA training (binary) male: Gender (1 = male, 0 = female) hsorged: Completed high school or earned a GED (1 = yes, 0 = no) black: Race indicator (1 = Black, 0 = otherwise) hispanic: Ethnicity indicator (1 = Hispanic, 0 = otherwise) married: Marital status (1 = married, 0 = unmarried) wkless13: Employment status: whether worked less than 13 weeks in the year before program entry (1 = yes, 0 = no) afdc: Receipt of Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC welfare program) (1 = yes, 0 = no) age2225: Age group indicator (22-25 years old) age2629: Age group indicator (26-29 years old) age3035: Age group indicator (30-35 years old) age3644: Age group indicator (36-44 years old) age4554: Age group indicator (45-54 years old) class_tr: Participation in classroom training (1 = yes, 0 = no) ojt_jsa: Participation in on-the-job training (OJT) or job search assistance (JSA) f2sms: Indicator for assignment to ""Follow-up survey sample"" or another experimental grouping

   file 07f3f196b42e8b021c7ed300807753a0c7ee104d9466807fc298890879e73c38 · frame —
2. 1Turno do modelo
   call_055260c9referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Texto visível

   causcibench_metadata_rule/1: iv

   Chamadas pedidas

   • infer.iv_2sls

     {
       "dataset": "abadie_instrumental_variables",
       "endog": [
         "JTPA training participation"
       ],
       "exog": [
         "hsorged",
         "black",
         "hispanic",
         "married",
         "wkless13",
         "afdc",
         "class_tr",
         "ojt_jsa",
         "age2225",
         "age2629",
         "age3035",
         "age3644",
         "age4554",
         "f2sms"
       ],
       "instruments": [
         "JTPA training offer"
       ],
       "y": "income"
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
3. 2Ferramenta
   infer.iv_2slsv0.1.0call_952ea94cdecidido pelo modeloreexecutável

   Motivo: causcibench_metadata_rule/1: iv

   Argumentos

   {
     "cluster": null,
     "dataset": "abadie_instrumental_variables",
     "endog": [
       "JTPA training participation"
     ],
     "exog": [
       "hsorged",
       "black",
       "hispanic",
       "married",
       "wkless13",
       "afdc",
       "class_tr",
       "ojt_jsa",
       "age2225",
       "age2629",
       "age3035",
       "age3644",
       "age4554",
       "f2sms"
     ],
     "instruments": [
       "JTPA training offer"
     ],
     "level": 0.95,
     "se": "HC1",
     "subset": null,
     "y": "income"
   }

   Figuras call_952ea94c

   Chave	Valor	Valor bruto	Erro-padrão	IC
   coef.JTPA training participation 2SLS effect of JTPA training participation on income	1.679,26	1679.2598927825413	501,612501.61212543563096	696,012 – 2.662,51

   Diagnósticos

   • first_stage_F.JTPA training participation = 11.283,811283.763800105484
   • partial_r2.JTPA training participation = 0,3602570.3602568868328082
   • weak_instrument = false
   • n_obs = 11.20411204
   • se_type = "HC1"
   • n_clusters = —

   Tabelas (3)

   {
     "coefficients": [
       {
         "ci_high": 12371.325021322753,
         "ci_low": 9200.071448363453,
         "coef": 10785.698234843103,
         "p": 2.9985492228571027e-40,
         "se": 808.9206023956164,
         "t": 13.33344484353753,
         "term": "Intercept"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 4211.908628585577,
         "ci_low": 2922.1476986760636,
         "coef": 3567.0281636308205,
         "p": 2.962627353048922e-27,
         "se": 328.99109590758815,
         "t": 10.842324330360539,
         "term": "hsorged"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": -379.4997471380227,
         "ci_low": -1780.07443706855,
         "coef": -1079.7870921032863,
         "p": 0.0025131758400244114,
         "se": 357.2573734056291,
         "t": -3.0224347276866386,
         "term": "black"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 349.4224355662774,
         "ci_low": -1517.2544209299485,
         "coef": -583.9159926818355,
         "p": 0.22010144344590066,
         "se": 476.1503085437004,
         "t": -1.226327027840715,
         "term": "hispanic"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 4779.151040115989,
         "ci_low": 3209.6935735513644,
         "coef": 3994.422306833677,
         "p": 2.3894116039197575e-23,
         "se": 400.33584514121367,
         "t": 9.977678380072842,
         "term": "married"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": -5886.138327172579,
         "ci_low": -7184.985358081125,
         "coef": -6535.561842626852,
         "p": 3.547818305834217e-85,
         "se": 331.3087706455014,
         "t": -19.726498124071302,
         "term": "wkless13"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": -2905.4402633793766,
         "ci_low": -4274.1074565590925,
         "coef": -3589.7738599692348,
         "p": 1.089422506605359e-24,
         "se": 349.118436893997,
         "t": -10.282395544349894,
         "term": "afdc"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": -1298.0269503192237,
         "ci_low": -2862.858301964813,
         "coef": -2080.4426261420185,
         "p": 1.9003480922825395e-7,
         "se": 399.15581977239225,
         "t": -5.212106458395958,
         "term": "class_tr"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 1816.8380785446993,
         "ci_low": 290.4004702217202,
         "coef": 1053.6192743832098,
         "p": 0.006819980843845018,
         "se": 389.36237712826875,
         "t": 2.7060120244645853,
         "term": "ojt_jsa"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 6227.493906616717,
         "ci_low": 3342.8186999241734,
         "coef": 4785.156303270445,
         "p": 8.20031017316732e-11,
         "se": 735.8204420518538,
         "t": 6.503157604492364,
         "term": "age2225"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 6734.474828257452,
         "ci_low": 3791.734172686177,
         "coef": 5263.104500471814,
         "p": 2.4924310876712566e-12,
         "se": 750.6317262348225,
         "t": 7.011566813025087,
         "term": "age2629"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 6474.374630775145,
         "ci_low": 3568.146485708311,
         "coef": 5021.260558241728,
         "p": 1.3207905199682341e-11,
         "se": 741.3181468212825,
         "t": 6.773421883401239,
         "term": "age3035"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 5791.919824155861,
         "ci_low": 2840.386243277124,
         "coef": 4316.153033716492,
         "p": 1.0128316971853773e-8,
         "se": 752.8746179723928,
         "t": 5.732897524611145,
         "term": "age3644"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 3860.451978176201,
         "ci_low": 654.165613926313,
         "coef": 2257.308796051257,
         "p": 0.005789018989810076,
         "se": 817.8567363194447,
         "t": 2.7600295941923747,
         "term": "age4554"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 2200.5761535014253,
         "ci_low": 913.3553955018799,
         "coef": 1556.9657745016527,
         "p": 0.0000021435187410712202,
         "se": 328.34315106674643,
         "t": 4.741885949023949,
         "term": "f2sms"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 2662.507964544147,
         "ci_low": 696.0118210209356,
         "coef": 1679.2598927825413,
         "p": 0.0008174628223406107,
         "se": 501.61212543563096,
         "t": 3.3477258774878464,
         "term": "JTPA training participation"
       }
     ],
     "first_stage": [
       {
         "ci_high": 0.637334596630317,
         "ci_low": 0.6142392458991346,
         "coef": 0.6257869212647258,
         "endog": "JTPA training participation",
         "instrument": "JTPA training offer",
         "p": 0,
         "se": 0.0058911419715240625,
         "t": 106.22506201507008
       }
     ],
     "reduced_form": [
       {
         "ci_high": 1667.0008149917826,
         "ci_low": 434.71694162366157,
         "coef": 1050.858878307722,
         "instrument": "JTPA training offer",
         "p": 0.0008309837419456675,
         "se": 314.32989833012556,
         "t": 3.343171883713256
       }
     ]
   }

   Digests dos dados

   abadie_instrumental_variables 7d1e5077d40b12f4726ea5b1690837de3f5067be68b661660c27c9d21475aa9d

   sha256 do resultado

   86ddecb5517fd6ae3c0cea62ca90a5b2ab17c7e8f91ecfc3551a3e044962ddae

   Resultado mostrado ao modelo
4. 3Turno do modelo
   call_e4c2c1edreferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Chamadas pedidas

   • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)

     {
       "answer": "Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.JTPA training participation = 1679.",
       "caveats": [],
       "figure_refs": [
         "call_952ea94c:coef.JTPA training participation"
       ]
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
5. 4Guarda
   resposta aceita

   Números encontrados

   1679

   Sem lastro

   —

   Não citados

   —

   1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
6. 5Resposta

   Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.JTPA training participation = 1679.

   Figuras citadas: call_952ea94c:coef.JTPA training participation · Parada: answered

   Figura da resposta: call_952ea94c:coef.JTPA training participation = 1.679,261679.2598927825413 (se 501,612501.61212543563096)
7. 6Pontuação
   #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
8. 7Pontuação
   #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória1679.259893 vs 1779.922

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• época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)

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