Tarefa causcibench_real.q120

Veredito

Pergunta feita ao analista

How does social capital influence the maximum TANF benefit a family of three can claim when accounting for immigration?

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Verificações

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Trajetória

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1. 0Início

   How does social capital influence the maximum TANF benefit a family of three can claim when accounting for immigration?

   hawes_give_us (agent)

   A long-standing debate persists regarding how social capital relates to diversity and inequality in the American states. Putnam argues social capital leads to greater equality and tolerance; however, others find that it increases racial inequality. This study tests this using the case of immigration and welfare generosity following the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act (PRWORA) of 1996. Variables - statename: Name of the U.S. state - year: Year of observation (1997-2009 based on the study period) - stateabrv: State abbreviation (two-letter postal code) - fips: Federal Information Processing Standards state code - fipsyear: FIPS code combined with year identifier - cpi2007: Consumer Price Index adjusted to 2007 dollars (for cost of living adjustments) - women_leg: Percent of women legislators in state legislature - cit_ideology: Citizen ideology measure (Berry et al.'s liberal-conservative scale) - SC8609_ma: Social capital index score, likely covering 1986-2009 with moving average - pop_pctblk: Percent of state population that is Black - pop_pcthisp: Percent of state population that is Hispanic/Latino - pov_rtfull: Poverty rate (percent of population below poverty line) - unemp: State unemployment rate - totdempct: Total percent of Democratic legislators in state legislature - high_school: Percent of adult population with high school degree or equivalent - pctfb_ma: Percent foreign-born population with moving average for non-census years - adj_incpcK: Adjusted per capita income in thousands of constant dollars - adj_GSPpcK: Adjusted Gross State Product per capita in thousands of constant dollars - pcturban_MA: Percent urban population with moving average - tanfbenefit: Maximum Temporary Assitance for Needy Families (TANF) cash benefit level for family of three (likely COLA-adjusted) - avgnbrtanf: Average neighboring states' TANF benefit levels - hvd_4yr: Holbrook and Van Dunk political competitiveness index (4-year measure) - SC_pFB: Social capital interacted with percent foreign-born (interaction term) - unmarried_births: Birth rate to unmarried mothers - tanfcaseloadK: TANF caseloads in thousands - tanf_scpi: TANF benefit adjusted by state cost of living index

   file dbd2ec92e684d3b5374d5971bcf3835571d7e0863fa970c92e235f7e1d411de5 · frame —
2. 1Turno do modelo
   call_6313c499referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Texto visível

   causcibench_metadata_rule/1: did

   Chamadas pedidas

   • infer.ols

     {
       "controls": [
         "pctfb_ma",
         "tanfcaseloadK",
         "avgnbrtanf",
         "unmarried_births",
         "pov_rtfull",
         "cit_ideology",
         "totdempct",
         "hvd_4yr",
         "women_leg",
         "unemp",
         "adj_GSPpcK",
         "adj_incpcK",
         "pcturban_MA",
         "high_school",
         "pop_pcthisp",
         "pop_pctblk"
       ],
       "dataset": "hawes_give_us",
       "fe": [
         "statename",
         "year"
       ],
       "x": [
         "SC8609_ma"
       ],
       "y": "tanfbenefit"
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
3. 2Ferramenta
   infer.olsv0.1.0call_318900d2decidido pelo modeloreexecutável

   Motivo: causcibench_metadata_rule/1: did

   Argumentos

   {
     "cluster": null,
     "controls": [
       "pctfb_ma",
       "tanfcaseloadK",
       "avgnbrtanf",
       "unmarried_births",
       "pov_rtfull",
       "cit_ideology",
       "totdempct",
       "hvd_4yr",
       "women_leg",
       "unemp",
       "adj_GSPpcK",
       "adj_incpcK",
       "pcturban_MA",
       "high_school",
       "pop_pcthisp",
       "pop_pctblk"
     ],
     "dataset": "hawes_give_us",
     "fe": [
       "statename",
       "year"
     ],
     "intercept": true,
     "level": 0.95,
     "se": "HC1",
     "subset": null,
     "weights": null,
     "x": [
       "SC8609_ma"
     ],
     "y": "tanfbenefit"
   }

   Figuras call_318900d2

   Chave	Valor	Valor bruto	Erro-padrão	IC
   coef.SC8609_ma Coefficient on SC8609_ma in the regression of tanfbenefit	5,34333	5.343329326256344	4,212694.212688456834862	-2,93025 – 13,6169

   Diagnósticos

   • n_obs = 672672
   • k = 7878
   • r2 = 0,9461270.9461269463226807
   • df_resid = 594594
   • se_type = "HC1"
   • n_clusters = —
   • fixed_effects = "statename (48 levels), year (14 levels)"

   Tabelas (1)

   {
     "coefficients": [
       {
         "ci_high": 1424.2505538706323,
         "ci_low": 424.8001488180376,
         "coef": 924.5253513443349,
         "p": 0.00030384254270486837,
         "se": 254.44700879317213,
         "t": 3.6334691287168464,
         "term": "Intercept"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 13.616905039552321,
         "ci_low": -2.930246387039632,
         "coef": 5.343329326256344,
         "p": 0.20515580280742726,
         "se": 4.212688456834862,
         "t": 1.268389386256911,
         "term": "SC8609_ma"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 12.623566618311859,
         "ci_low": -4.795227957932291,
         "coef": 3.9141693301897833,
         "p": 0.37778587878887826,
         "se": 4.434597409037838,
         "t": 0.8826436695724831,
         "term": "pctfb_ma"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": -0.02437175547352103,
         "ci_low": -0.08422743434663013,
         "coef": -0.05429959491007558,
         "p": 0.00039558963583871795,
         "se": 0.015238473436554179,
         "t": -3.5633224768972758,
         "term": "tanfcaseloadK"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 0.18147448141479788,
         "ci_low": -0.3603100170032159,
         "coef": -0.089417767794209,
         "p": 0.5170558065339779,
         "se": 0.13793125135180495,
         "t": -0.6482777972204549,
         "term": "avgnbrtanf"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": -0.35856339532311843,
         "ci_low": -5.720105112825967,
         "coef": -3.0393342540745425,
         "p": 0.02634460442555422,
         "se": 1.3649784377911336,
         "t": -2.22665367446604,
         "term": "unmarried_births"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 5.864274329989474,
         "ci_low": 0.25801305982576883,
         "coef": 3.061143694907621,
         "p": 0.032378763561122126,
         "se": 1.4272808370427317,
         "t": 2.1447381730775477,
         "term": "pov_rtfull"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 0.26783110719719594,
         "ci_low": -0.9673894024406948,
         "coef": -0.34977914762174944,
         "p": 0.2664686206365065,
         "se": 0.31447099554759744,
         "t": -1.1122779288839306,
         "term": "cit_ideology"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 0.1462313748283367,
         "ci_low": -1.1540243445423837,
         "coef": -0.5038964848570235,
         "p": 0.12848696918093078,
         "se": 0.3310281098367095,
         "t": -1.5222166030117112,
         "term": "totdempct"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 0.5392025633818069,
         "ci_low": -1.3040231545998473,
         "coef": -0.3824102956090202,
         "p": 0.415444734895339,
         "se": 0.46926117404134565,
         "t": -0.8149199566536625,
         "term": "hvd_4yr"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 3.73497452408274,
         "ci_low": 0.6706161492568612,
         "coef": 2.2027953366698005,
         "p": 0.004908460563178044,
         "se": 0.7801455864172866,
         "t": 2.8235695683235753,
         "term": "women_leg"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": -3.148359794110685,
         "ci_low": -14.60883846506287,
         "coef": -8.878599129586778,
         "p": 0.002445609369579869,
         "se": 2.917688063779691,
         "t": -3.04302548302065,
         "term": "unemp"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 2.116516534444355,
         "ci_low": -3.6967809063147716,
         "coef": -0.7901321859352083,
         "p": 0.5936264515602099,
         "se": 1.4799895397994491,
         "t": -0.5338768718880795,
         "term": "adj_GSPpcK"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": -1.6700671231787987,
         "ci_low": -8.749491849409944,
         "coef": -5.209779486294371,
         "p": 0.003985806571769665,
         "se": 1.8023289964759617,
         "t": -2.890581850750275,
         "term": "adj_incpcK"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 2.7952322147892064,
         "ci_low": -7.906574702313166,
         "coef": -2.5556712437619797,
         "p": 0.348615731279311,
         "se": 2.724540152240452,
         "t": -0.9380192990220358,
         "term": "pcturban_MA"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": -0.3396306120783361,
         "ci_low": -5.3506336959587015,
         "coef": -2.845132154018519,
         "p": 0.026107717609378536,
         "se": 1.2757358837426487,
         "t": -2.2301890150426003,
         "term": "high_school"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": -3.191286552220534,
         "ci_low": -11.890670925642745,
         "coef": -7.540978738931639,
         "p": 0.0007065460158684234,
         "se": 2.214749547320321,
         "t": -3.4048900689722013,
         "term": "pop_pcthisp"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 7.620266233917247,
         "ci_low": -15.800555878887552,
         "coef": -4.090144822485152,
         "p": 0.49300432658003307,
         "se": 5.962635164239651,
         "t": -0.6859626171689013,
         "term": "pop_pctblk"
       }
     ]
   }

   • 1113 rows were dropped because one of 'tanfbenefit', 'SC8609_ma', 'pctfb_ma', 'tanfcaseloadK', 'avgnbrtanf', 'unmarried_births', 'pov_rtfull', 'cit_ideology', 'totdempct', 'hvd_4yr', 'women_leg', 'unemp', 'adj_GSPpcK', 'adj_incpcK', 'pcturban_MA', 'high_school', 'pop_pcthisp', 'pop_pctblk', 'statename', 'year' was missing

   Digests dos dados

   hawes_give_us 60919078a61747fd397a97fdf74e9eb6e370d58010c70e207e7c39724b0daaf4

   sha256 do resultado

   9cb047fe5602440f8f5768622458000b1b1c804ad7ff73c9aaf9da81de005d18

   Resultado mostrado ao modelo
4. 3Turno do modelo
   call_83d47360referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Chamadas pedidas

   • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)

     {
       "answer": "Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.SC8609_ma = 5,343.",
       "caveats": [],
       "figure_refs": [
         "call_318900d2:coef.SC8609_ma"
       ]
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
5. 4Guarda
   resposta aceita

   Números encontrados

   5,343

   Sem lastro

   —

   Não citados

   —

   1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
6. 5Resposta

   Estimativa (infer.ols): coef.SC8609_ma = 5,343.

   Figuras citadas: call_318900d2:coef.SC8609_ma · Parada: answered

   Figura da resposta: call_318900d2:coef.SC8609_ma = 5,343335.343329326256344 (se 4,212694.212688456834862)
7. 6Pontuação
   #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
8. 7Pontuação
   #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória5.343329326 vs 44.198

Épocas × verificações

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

• época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)

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