Pular para o conteúdo

Tarefa causcibench_real.q055

causcibench_realagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b

Veredito

falhouDecidida pela verificação 1: figura da resposta próxima, nenhuma estimativa citada.
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call

Pergunta feita ao analista

What is the effect of electing a Democratic on cooperation with federal immigration authorities?

Resposta

Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

causcibench_real.gold.q055

Fonte
CauSciBench real split, data/metadata_json/real_input.json at d9bb43a, id 55
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
real_input.json, record id 55: fields effect and std_error
Trecho
id 55 effect -0.006 std_error 0.048
Valor como publicado
-0.006
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.048
Valor
-0,006-0.006 (se 0,0480.048)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Written by scripts/freeze_causcibench_real.py from the pinned file; equal to the `answer` and `std_error` of the same id in data/metadata_csv/real_input.csv at the pin.
sha256 da cópia lida
c1f4c8930675afff63d816d8ed066941ae92697e7bfc31e9d38519398dd80438 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/causalNLP/CauSciBench/d9bb43a2d90f261978cc5ac0b628c0484f6e8956/data/metadata_json/real_input.json
Licença
CauSciBench repository (MIT for code; metadata as published in the repository)
  • #1 figura da resposta próxima: -0,006-0.006 · relativa 0.05

Verificações

Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
#VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
0resposta com lastro
every number backed
obrigatóriapassou—[]———
1figura da resposta próxima
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
obrigatóriafalhou-0,006-0.006—relativa 0.05causcibench_real.gold.q055—

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

caminho de referência do item · metadata_rule

Referência: infer.olsO agente não fez uma chamada de estimação que a resposta cite.

Pendências do caminho de referência: needs_spec:bandwidth

Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

  1. 0Início

    What is the effect of electing a Democratic on cooperation with federal immigration authorities?

    thompson_how_partisan (agent)

    This dataset assembles county-year measures of sheriff cooperation with federal immigration enforcement, linked to partisan sheriff election records and policy snapshots, with outcomes normalized by population or foreign-born counts and policy flags for specific cooperation practices in 2015 and 2018. Core sources include TRAC's detainer records, ICE reports on background checks and removals, an Immigrant Legal Resource Center (ILRC) policy survey, and compiled lists of 2018 287(g) participants and sanctuary sheriffs, all aggregated to the county level for analysis. Variables: year, policy_year: Calendar year for outcomes; policy_year tags policy snapshots (e.g., ILRC 2015 policies and 2018 enforcement scale) used in the dataset share_detained_sheriff: Compliance rate = detained/requested for sheriff-run facilities in the county-year; missing when no requests occur share_detained_crime0, share_detained_crime1, share_detained_crime2, share_detained_crime3: Compliance shares restricted to individuals with no conviction, misdemeanor, non-aggravated felony, and aggravated felony, respectively, based on TRAC severity groupings no_287g, no_detention_contract, no_ice_alerts, ice_interrogation_limits: Binary indicators from ILRC's 2015 policy inventory for the absence of a 287(g) agreement, absence of ICE detention contracts, no routine alerts to ICE about releases, and limits on ICE questioning in county jails sanctuary_2018, in_287g_2018: 2018 policy flags from ICE archival listings (287(g) participation) and FAIR's sanctuary identifications at the sheriff/county level enforcement_scale_2018: Combined policy scale in 2018 taking values -1 (sanctuary), 0 (neither), +1 (287(g)), summarizing county-level enforcement posture large_county: Indicator for counties above the 100,000 population threshold (2000 Census), used to denote the high-population subsample emphasized in robustness checks county_id, election_id: Stable identifiers linking county-year records to sheriff election records and grouping observations by the election that seated the incumbent sheriff rv, rv2, rv3, rv4, rv5: Centered two-party Democratic vote share in the most recent sheriff election (Dem share minus 50) and its higher-order powers for flexible functional control; supplied as ready-to-use analysis design covariates treat: Indicator that the sitting sheriff is a Democrat for the election cycle in force in the county-year; treat_rv, treat_rv2, treat_rv3 are interactions for flexible post-win slope adjustments in modeling all_sheriff_per1k_fb, all_sheriff_per1k_pop, log_all_sheriff: Total detainer requests to sheriff facilities per 1,000 foreign-born, per 1,000 residents, and log(requests+1), respectively, capturing ICE request intensity normalized by local exposure detained_sheriff_per1k_fb, detained_sheriff_per1k_pop, log_detained_sheriff: Total sheriff-facilitated detentions per 1,000 foreign-born, per 1,000 residents, and log(detentions+1), respectively sub_per_fb: FBI background check submissions associated with the county's jail intake per 1,000 foreign-born, based on ICE reporting for Secure Communities/Priority Enforcement periods rem_per1k_fb: Removals/deportations associated with jail-identified individuals per 1,000 foreign-born, from ICE progress reports miss_share_detained_sheriff: Indicator that the compliance rate is undefined due to zero detainer requests in the county-year, allowing explicit missingness tracking for downstream analysis; pre_share_detained_sheriff, pre_all_sheriff_per1k_fb, pre_all_sheriff_per1k_pop, pre_log_all_sheriff, pre_detained_sheriff_per1k_fb, pre_detained_sheriff_per1k_pop, pre_log_detained_sheriff, pre_year: Baseline (pre-period) versions of the corresponding outcomes anchored to pre_year for adjustment and diagnostics, aligned with lag constructions described in the study materials"

    file 219663aca0ff32ad5332456ddeda6a08da8f5cf849f07b1041ea7b63465abd99 · frame —
  2. 1Turno do modelo
    call_14912a98rules-1Fim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Chamadas pedidas
    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
      {
        "answer": "Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": []
      }
  3. 2Guarda
    resposta aceita
    Números encontrados
    —
    Sem lastro
    —
    Não citados
    —
    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
  4. 3Resposta

    Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.

    Figuras citadas: — · Parada: answered
  5. 4Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
  6. 5Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatóriano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call

Épocas × verificações

Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
#01
Época 1passoufalhou

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

Downloads desta tarefa

Pacote da tarefa (.zip)
88,7 KB · sha256 181fb69db000b60a26c6fcb2c574ae75980e6c543a33462e799ed786449429be

O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.

Downloads desta tarefa
ArquivoTamanhosha256
attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json2,4 KB433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420
attachments/4df2dbf1dafbada4ce4fc56a6681ced35c9a25e346381acffda8315d62c762f2.json5,6 KB4df2dbf1dafbada4ce4fc56a6681ced35c9a25e346381acffda8315d62c762f2
attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json64,0 KB52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b
attachments/6e1846ae9cad939dee7ec72535ef5faa9d0d961c2a197c6ba8dd9d85142a9b0c.json121 B6e1846ae9cad939dee7ec72535ef5faa9d0d961c2a197c6ba8dd9d85142a9b0c
native/causcibench_real/causcibench_real.q055.e1.a1.json1,5 KB3a3998cd814afc54f860c0fbe8ed8d29e98ecb6ec8bda447aae9039dcea79975
sources/causcibench_real.gold.q055.json1,2 KBd2deb1535bf1cbc84ea856c514f17b2bb5c9cfc07a37daae771eb52715a7e722
specs/causcibench_real.q055.json8,1 KB22a34d06a4c3d49dc3c884890fb9ac17aba68744116ef4991961dc770c940bd1
traces/causcibench_real.q055.e1.a1.jsonl11,2 KBa9df85c0bb52e226cea62a726f295ec1b7ca898f84c015fb52c7cf07d53e0df0
trajectories/causcibench_real.q055.e1.a1.jsonl7,3 KB11d4a5a0ab5afddc19f32f45b101f04d388660b2302200d5ddb75f19ae1acc5d