Tarefa causcibench_real.q036

Veredito

Pergunta feita ao analista

Does change to a different government integrity information affect trust in government?

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

Verificações

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

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Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

1. 0Início

   Does change to a different government integrity information affect trust in government?

   liu_public_trust1 (agent)

   The dataset comes from a pre-registered vignette experiment examining the effect of trust in government on perceived collaborative governance in a hypothetical environmental program. Respondents were randomly assigned to three experimental conditions: Corrupt, Control, and Honest, about government integrity in a fictional U.S. city, Midtown. The information provided to the corrupt group explicitly states that the (hypothetical) municipality has corrupt officials. Similarly, for the honest group, the information states that officials are not corrupt. The control group is provided with no information. After reading the information about government integrity, subjects reported trust in government, perceptions of collaborative governance, and willingness to coproduce public services. Variables: trust: Trust in government (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) private: Support for public-private partnerships (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) community: Support for public-citizen partnerships (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) coproduce: Willingness to coproduce public services (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) placebo1: Placebo outcome variable for robustness checks (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) placebo2: Placebo outcome variable for robustness checks (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) duration: Time spent on the survey sex: 0=male; 1=female white: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) black: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) hispanic: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) asian: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) other: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) age: Age in years (18-100) income: 1=<25k; 2=25k-34,999; 3=35k-49,999; 4=50k-74,999; 5=75k-99,999; 6=100k-149,999; 7=150k+ education: 1=<high school; 2=high school/GED; 3=some college; 4=2-year degree; 5=4-year degree; 6=master's; 7=doctoral; 8=professional (JD, MD) ideology: 1=very liberal; 2=liberal; 3=moderate; 4=conservative; 5=very conservative gw: Belief that global warming is happening (-1=no, 0=don't know, 1=yes) gwh: Belief about human causation of global warming (-1=neither, 0=mostly natural, 1=mostly human) covid: Concern about COVID-19 (1=not at all, ..., 5=extremely concerned) covid_job: Concern about job loss due to the pandemic (1=strongly disagree, ..., 5=strongly agree) rand: The randomly assigned government integrity group: Corrupt, Control, and Honest trustprime: Encoding of government integrity group to which participants are assigned (0=Corrupt, 1=Control, 2=Honest) at: Response to the question, ""What is 17 + 63 equal to?"" The question was meant to test the attentiveness of the participants atpass: 1 = participant provided correct answer to attention test question, 0 otherwise mc: Response to the manipulation check question: Have you seen the information below from any previous part of this survey? ""Local and state government have more corruption than we assumed"" mcpass: 1 = participant passed the manipulation check, 0 = otherwise mcatpass: 1 = passed both attention and manipulation test, 0 = otherwise climatebelief: Average of gw and gwh

   file cf9e09515de1eefd2f8632f50f8bba346bb07de38a86d54334beae321106e59f · frame —
2. 1Turno do modelo
   call_02ad5b66naive-olsFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Texto visível

   Linha de base ingênua: regressão do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.

   Chamadas pedidas

   • infer.ols

     {
       "dataset": "liu_public_trust1",
       "x": [
         "trustprime"
       ],
       "y": "trust"
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
3. 2Ferramenta
   infer.olsv0.1.0call_0d76899fdecidido pelo modeloreexecutável

   Motivo: Linha de base ingênua: regressão do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.

   Argumentos

   {
     "cluster": null,
     "controls": [],
     "dataset": "liu_public_trust1",
     "fe": [],
     "intercept": true,
     "level": 0.95,
     "se": "HC1",
     "subset": null,
     "weights": null,
     "x": [
       "trustprime"
     ],
     "y": "trust"
   }

   Figuras call_0d76899f

   Chave	Valor	Valor bruto	Erro-padrão	IC
   coef.trustprime Coefficient on trustprime in the regression of trust	20,3717	20.371720848235373	0,8241970.8241968868803874	18,7547 – 21,9888

   Diagnósticos

   • n_obs = 1.1981198
   • k = 22
   • r2 = 0,3450850.3450852231039986
   • df_resid = 1.1961196
   • se_type = "HC1"
   • n_clusters = —

   Tabelas (1)

   {
     "coefficients": [
       {
         "ci_high": 39.33699737635746,
         "ci_low": 34.65985210741337,
         "coef": 36.998424741885415,
         "p": 1.2045989697461337e-155,
         "se": 1.1919637472058116,
         "t": 31.039890960288616,
         "term": "Intercept"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 21.988753488358718,
         "ci_low": 18.75468820811203,
         "coef": 20.371720848235373,
         "p": 2.6894868323994986e-109,
         "se": 0.8241968868803874,
         "t": 24.717056291419656,
         "term": "trustprime"
       }
     ]
   }

   Digests dos dados

   liu_public_trust1 8ba54229ae7736acbff5600719dd002991abab249273fc1dbc14caa81b5b7e6d

   sha256 do resultado

   397df6fed8ebc932e3bbf9408ac09862bf23f8665742b86da50cb8abd3c55bd9

   Resultado mostrado ao modelo
4. 3Turno do modelo
   call_a2770d5dnaive-olsFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Chamadas pedidas

   • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)

     {
       "answer": "Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.trustprime = 20,37.",
       "caveats": [],
       "figure_refs": [
         "call_0d76899f:coef.trustprime"
       ]
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
5. 4Guarda
   resposta aceita

   Números encontrados

   20,37

   Sem lastro

   —

   Não citados

   —

   1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
6. 5Resposta

   Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.trustprime = 20,37.

   Figuras citadas: call_0d76899f:coef.trustprime · Parada: answered

   Figura da resposta: call_0d76899f:coef.trustprime = 20,371720.371720848235373 (se 0,8241970.8241968868803874)
7. 6Pontuação
   #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
8. 7Pontuação
   #1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória20.37172085 vs 20.372

Épocas × verificações

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

• época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)

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