Pular para o conteúdo

Tarefa causcibench_real.q037

causcibench_realagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494d

Veredito

passouPassou em todas as verificações obrigatórias.

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)

Pergunta feita ao analista

Does exposure to government integrity information (corrupt, control, honest) causally increase trust in local government?

Resposta

Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.trustprime = 0,5405.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

causcibench_real.gold.q037

Fonte
CauSciBench real split, data/metadata_json/real_input.json at d9bb43a, id 37
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
real_input.json, record id 37: fields effect and std_error
Trecho
id 37 effect 0.541 std_error 0.045
Valor como publicado
0.541
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.045
Valor
0,5410.541 (se 0,0450.045)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Written by scripts/freeze_causcibench_real.py from the pinned file; equal to the `answer` and `std_error` of the same id in data/metadata_csv/real_input.csv at the pin.
sha256 da cópia lida
c1f4c8930675afff63d816d8ed066941ae92697e7bfc31e9d38519398dd80438 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/causalNLP/CauSciBench/d9bb43a2d90f261978cc5ac0b628c0484f6e8956/data/metadata_json/real_input.json
Licença
CauSciBench repository (MIT for code; metadata as published in the repository)
  • #1 figura da resposta próxima: 0,5410.541 · relativa 0.05

Verificações

Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
#VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
0resposta com lastro
every number backed
obrigatóriapassou—[]———
1figura da resposta próxima
0.5405212545 vs 0.541
obrigatóriapassou0,5410.5410,5405210.5405212545153025relativa 0.05causcibench_real.gold.q037call_4d89f5fd

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

caminho de referência do item · metadata_rule

Referência: infer.olsChamada do agente: infer.ols (call_4d89f5fd)igual
Argumentos da referência e do agente
ArgumentoReferênciaAgente
cluster——não fixado pela referência
controls[][]igual
dataset"liu_public_trust2""liu_public_trust2"igual
fe—[]não fixado pela referência
intercept—truenão fixado pela referência
level—0,950.95não fixado pela referência
se—"HC1"não fixado pela referência
subset——não fixado pela referência
weights——não fixado pela referência
x["trustprime"]["trustprime"]igual
y"trust""trust"igual

Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

  1. 0Início

    Does exposure to government integrity information (corrupt, control, honest) causally increase trust in local government?

    liu_public_trust2 (agent)

    The dataset comes from a pre-registered vignette experiment examining the effect of trust in government on perceived collaborative governance in a hypothetical environmental program. Respondents were randomly assigned to three experimental conditions: Corrupt, Control, and Honest, about government integrity in a fictional U.S. city, Midtown. The information provided to the corrupt group explicitly states that the (hypothetical) municipality has corrupt officials. Similarly, for the honest group, the information states that officials are not corrupt. The control group is provided with no information. After reading the information about government integrity, subjects reported trust in government, perceptions of collaborative governance, and willingness to coproduce public services. Variables: trust: Trust in government (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) PPP: Support for public-private partnerships (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) PCP: Support for public-citizen partnerships (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) coproduce: Willingness to coproduce public services (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) placebo1: Placebo outcome variable for robustness checks (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) placebo2: Placebo outcome variable for robustness checks (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) duration: Time spent on the survey sex: 0=male; 1=female white: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) black: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) hispanic: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) asian: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) other: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) age: Age in years (18-100) income: 1=<25k; 2=25k-34,999; 3=35k-49,999; 4=50k-74,999; 5=75k-99,999; 6=100k-149,999; 7=150k+ education: 1=<high school; 2=high school/GED; 3=some college; 4=2-year degree; 5=4-year degree; 6=master's; 7=doctoral; 8=professional (JD, MD) ideology: 1=very liberal; 2=liberal; 3=moderate; 4=conservative; 5=very conservative gw: Belief that global warming is happening (-1=no, 0=don't know, 1=yes) gwh: Belief about human causation of global warming (-1=neither, 0=mostly natural, 1=mostly human) covid: Concern about COVID-19 (1=not at all, ..., 5=extremely concerned) covid_job: Concern about job loss due to the pandemic (1=strongly disagree, ..., 5=strongly agree) rand: The randomly assigned government integrity group: Corrupt, Control, and Honest trustprime: Encoding of government integrity group to which participants are assigned (0=Corrupt, 1=Control, 2=Honest) at: Response to the question, ""What is 17 + 63 equal to?"" The question was meant to test the attentiveness of the participants atpass: 1 = participant provided correct answer to attention test question, 0 otherwise mc: Response to the manipulation check question: Have you seen the information below from any previous part of this survey? ""Local and state government have more corruption than we assumed"" mcpass: 1 = participant passed the manipulation check, 0 = otherwise mcatpass: 1 = passed both attention and manipulation test, 0 = otherwise climatebelief: Average of gw and gwh"

    file fc860c838198dcffd59dcd954f0a1f1743f18b6fdb1a88ee81b4490493d3c3cf · frame —
  2. 1Turno do modelo
    call_aafa9faanaive-olsFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Texto visível

    Linha de base ingênua: regressão do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.

    Chamadas pedidas
    • infer.ols
      {
        "dataset": "liu_public_trust2",
        "x": [
          "trustprime"
        ],
        "y": "trust"
      }
  3. 2Ferramenta
    infer.olsv0.1.0call_4d89f5fddecidido pelo modeloreexecutável

    Motivo: Linha de base ingênua: regressão do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.

    Argumentos
    {
      "cluster": null,
      "controls": [],
      "dataset": "liu_public_trust2",
      "fe": [],
      "intercept": true,
      "level": 0.95,
      "se": "HC1",
      "subset": null,
      "weights": null,
      "x": [
        "trustprime"
      ],
      "y": "trust"
    }
    Figuras call_4d89f5fd
    ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
    coef.trustprime
    Coefficient on trustprime in the regression of trust
    0,540521 0.54052125451530250,04639560.046395561698355340,449505 – 0,631537
    Diagnósticos
    • n_obs = 1.3371337
    • k = 22
    • r2 = 0,09584360.0958435875458935
    • df_resid = 1.3351335
    • se_type = "HC1"
    • n_clusters = —
    Tabelas (1)
    {
      "coefficients": [
        {
          "ci_high": 4.00808732295918,
          "ci_low": 3.759766156996179,
          "coef": 3.88392673997768,
          "p": 0,
          "se": 0.06329096694484292,
          "t": 61.36620954712954,
          "term": "Intercept"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.6315374020998727,
          "ci_low": 0.44950510693073226,
          "coef": 0.5405212545153025,
          "p": 6.082820714072249e-30,
          "se": 0.04639556169835534,
          "t": 11.650279352786956,
          "term": "trustprime"
        }
      ]
    }
    Digests dos dados
    liu_public_trust2 075a3e2ce885dad588f2e9e6bee224ee62b6c7eb389d59cb0f989acf9a8d97b6
    sha256 do resultado
    9d51cffa6f32be10c53a628277ec335ac20515162e942e9e438d8121f881d0aa
  4. 3Turno do modelo
    call_0455b11anaive-olsFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Chamadas pedidas
    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
      {
        "answer": "Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.trustprime = 0,5405.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": [
          "call_4d89f5fd:coef.trustprime"
        ]
      }
  5. 4Guarda
    resposta aceita
    Números encontrados
    0,5405
    Sem lastro
    —
    Não citados
    —
    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
  6. 5Resposta

    Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.trustprime = 0,5405.

    Figuras citadas: call_4d89f5fd:coef.trustprime · Parada: answered
    Figura da resposta: call_4d89f5fd:coef.trustprime = 0,5405210.5405212545153025 (se 0,04639560.04639556169835534)
  7. 6Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
  8. 7Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória0.5405212545 vs 0.541

Épocas × verificações

Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
#01
Época 1passoupassou

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

Downloads desta tarefa

Pacote da tarefa (.zip)
107,5 KB · sha256 c639fe5a235a0052cdc057fdd39c2a9a1481c5b5a0a2837a15d8d43aea1d844b

O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.

Downloads desta tarefa
ArquivoTamanhosha256
attachments/3300554f7ded92cd0fddf846181e05ee7ee523e286864f1fd5d3e4096e35d90c.json4,0 KB3300554f7ded92cd0fddf846181e05ee7ee523e286864f1fd5d3e4096e35d90c
attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json2,4 KB433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420
attachments/4e9f969b5aeaa8fe754ec9eb55b11336abdf3693633ca4bd27a799dcc0acc60a.json871 B4e9f969b5aeaa8fe754ec9eb55b11336abdf3693633ca4bd27a799dcc0acc60a
attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json64,0 KB52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b
attachments/bfa9a2f2d735486b362da427dff695ecf3f0e94db2914a01073db5c353916307.json238 Bbfa9a2f2d735486b362da427dff695ecf3f0e94db2914a01073db5c353916307
attachments/c7e39ea6ed6ed318e782601a67f0f78dae6f1a740148819a2bb7a687230cc9d4.json977 Bc7e39ea6ed6ed318e782601a67f0f78dae6f1a740148819a2bb7a687230cc9d4
attachments/c889c66ebd5d6ebd43ea1ac98b67966cf894252142de12b285907a9c6b37b4e4.json146 Bc889c66ebd5d6ebd43ea1ac98b67966cf894252142de12b285907a9c6b37b4e4
native/causcibench_real/causcibench_real.q037.e1.a1.json1,7 KBc409af3375f2d3816a1d2f78e34e4b52a9fff31cfbb2b78e6f4bca9735314f93
sources/causcibench_real.gold.q037.json1,2 KB8732d03306f7c884741737639efa53fc980b4a8f72e1cbdb030951ee295fac45
specs/causcibench_real.q037.json6,8 KB58ffb1bcc9ec7038ec9d8735706e8e29315076850b910d9014e3f1800c2a58f6
traces/causcibench_real.q037.e1.a1.jsonl14,8 KB95fb1789dd1d4bba8481f0df3f9bbd4d63ac2619aa3dc4ebe605522211aa4e52
trajectories/causcibench_real.q037.e1.a1.jsonl11,4 KBb430ef3b85219eeee8de17b44908e4a005d610f960a89d4365769f2d00072258