Tarefa causcibench_real.q038

Veredito

Pergunta feita ao analista

Does an increase in trust in local government increase support for public-private partnerships?

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

Verificações

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Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

1. 0Início

   Does an increase in trust in local government increase support for public-private partnerships?

   liu_public_trust2 (agent)

   The dataset comes from a pre-registered vignette experiment examining the effect of trust in government on perceived collaborative governance in a hypothetical environmental program. Respondents were randomly assigned to three experimental conditions: Corrupt, Control, and Honest, about government integrity in a fictional U.S. city, Midtown. The information provided to the corrupt group explicitly states that the (hypothetical) municipality has corrupt officials. Similarly, for the honest group, the information states that officials are not corrupt. The control group is provided with no information. After reading the information about government integrity, subjects reported trust in government, perceptions of collaborative governance, and willingness to coproduce public services. Variables: trust: Trust in government (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) PPP: Support for public-private partnerships (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) PCP: Support for public-citizen partnerships (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) coproduce: Willingness to coproduce public services (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) placebo1: Placebo outcome variable for robustness checks (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) placebo2: Placebo outcome variable for robustness checks (0-100; 0=never, 100=always) duration: Time spent on the survey sex: 0=male; 1=female white: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) black: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) hispanic: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) asian: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) other: Race indicator (1=yes, 0=no) age: Age in years (18-100) income: 1=<25k; 2=25k-34,999; 3=35k-49,999; 4=50k-74,999; 5=75k-99,999; 6=100k-149,999; 7=150k+ education: 1=<high school; 2=high school/GED; 3=some college; 4=2-year degree; 5=4-year degree; 6=master's; 7=doctoral; 8=professional (JD, MD) ideology: 1=very liberal; 2=liberal; 3=moderate; 4=conservative; 5=very conservative gw: Belief that global warming is happening (-1=no, 0=don't know, 1=yes) gwh: Belief about human causation of global warming (-1=neither, 0=mostly natural, 1=mostly human) covid: Concern about COVID-19 (1=not at all, ..., 5=extremely concerned) covid_job: Concern about job loss due to the pandemic (1=strongly disagree, ..., 5=strongly agree) rand: The randomly assigned government integrity group: Corrupt, Control, and Honest trustprime: Encoding of government integrity group to which participants are assigned (0=Corrupt, 1=Control, 2=Honest) at: Response to the question, ""What is 17 + 63 equal to?"" The question was meant to test the attentiveness of the participants atpass: 1 = participant provided correct answer to attention test question, 0 otherwise mc: Response to the manipulation check question: Have you seen the information below from any previous part of this survey? ""Local and state government have more corruption than we assumed"" mcpass: 1 = participant passed the manipulation check, 0 = otherwise mcatpass: 1 = passed both attention and manipulation test, 0 = otherwise climatebelief: Average of gw and gwh"

   file fc860c838198dcffd59dcd954f0a1f1743f18b6fdb1a88ee81b4490493d3c3cf · frame —
2. 1Turno do modelo
   call_124d5bbfnaive-olsFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Texto visível

   Linha de base ingênua: regressão do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.

   Chamadas pedidas

   • infer.ols

     {
       "dataset": "liu_public_trust2",
       "x": [
         "trust"
       ],
       "y": "PPP"
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
3. 2Ferramenta
   infer.olsv0.1.0call_e9899693decidido pelo modeloreexecutável

   Motivo: Linha de base ingênua: regressão do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.

   Argumentos

   {
     "cluster": null,
     "controls": [],
     "dataset": "liu_public_trust2",
     "fe": [],
     "intercept": true,
     "level": 0.95,
     "se": "HC1",
     "subset": null,
     "weights": null,
     "x": [
       "trust"
     ],
     "y": "PPP"
   }

   Figuras call_e9899693

   Chave	Valor	Valor bruto	Erro-padrão	IC
   coef.trust Coefficient on trust in the regression of PPP	5,48183	5.48183140308485	0,5319980.5319979910609597	4,43819 – 6,52547

   Diagnósticos

   • n_obs = 1.3371337
   • k = 22
   • r2 = 0,09392970.09392966395050273
   • df_resid = 1.3351335
   • se_type = "HC1"
   • n_clusters = —

   Tabelas (1)

   {
     "coefficients": [
       {
         "ci_high": 43.82015197300622,
         "ci_low": 33.577337348025836,
         "coef": 38.69874466051603,
         "p": 3.891958121247647e-46,
         "se": 2.6106419053637087,
         "t": 14.823459541121787,
         "term": "Intercept"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 6.525474499463519,
         "ci_low": 4.43818830670618,
         "coef": 5.48183140308485,
         "p": 5.204221448518713e-24,
         "se": 0.5319979910609597,
         "t": 10.30423327755895,
         "term": "trust"
       }
     ]
   }

   Digests dos dados

   liu_public_trust2 075a3e2ce885dad588f2e9e6bee224ee62b6c7eb389d59cb0f989acf9a8d97b6

   sha256 do resultado

   b6698089837f5196d69bda7e7a7b2761d96eade1046531ebdfa19061e3d1703d

   Resultado mostrado ao modelo
4. 3Turno do modelo
   call_6fa74c60naive-olsFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Chamadas pedidas

   • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)

     {
       "answer": "Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.trust = 5,482.",
       "caveats": [],
       "figure_refs": [
         "call_e9899693:coef.trust"
       ]
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
5. 4Guarda
   resposta aceita

   Números encontrados

   5,482

   Sem lastro

   —

   Não citados

   —

   1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
6. 5Resposta

   Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.trust = 5,482.

   Figuras citadas: call_e9899693:coef.trust · Parada: answered

   Figura da resposta: call_e9899693:coef.trust = 5,481835.48183140308485 (se 0,5319980.5319979910609597)
7. 6Pontuação
   #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
8. 7Pontuação
   #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória5.481831403 vs 4.953

Épocas × verificações

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Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

• época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)

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