Tarefa causcibench_real.q052
causcibench_realagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494dVeredito
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator callPergunta feita ao analista
What is the effect of the minimum wage on alcohol‑related fatal accidents involving drivers ages 16–20?
Linha de base ingênua: o item não declara o resultado e o tratamento, então não há regressão ingênua a fazer e nenhuma estimativa é citada.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
causcibench_real.gold.q052
- Fonte
- CauSciBench real split, data/metadata_json/real_input.json at d9bb43a, id 52
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- real_input.json, record id 52: fields effect and std_error
- Trecho
id 52 effect 0.012 std_error 0.011
- Valor como publicado
0.012- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.011- Valor
- 0,012
0.012(se 0,0110.011) - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Written by scripts/freeze_causcibench_real.py from the pinned file; equal to the `answer` and `std_error` of the same id in data/metadata_csv/real_input.csv at the pin.
- sha256 da cópia lida
c1f4c8930675afff63d816d8ed066941ae92697e7bfc31e9d38519398dd80438(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/causalNLP/CauSciBench/d9bb43a2d90f261978cc5ac0b628c0484f6e8956/data/metadata_json/real_input.json- Licença
- CauSciBench repository (MIT for code; metadata as published in the repository)
- #1 figura da resposta próxima: 0,012
0.012· relativa 0.05
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | 0,0120.012 | — | relativa 0.05 | causcibench_real.gold.q052 | — |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
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Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
What is the effect of the minimum wage on alcohol‑related fatal accidents involving drivers ages 16–20?
sabia_are_minimum(agent)This dataset is an annual, state-by-year panel for U.S. states combining fatal crash counts, alcohol-related crash measures for young drivers, minimum wage measures, alcohol policy/tax variables, price indices, and population and income controls, assembled to study alcohol-involved traffic outcomes in relation to policy and economic conditions. The crash measures align with the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) conventions on alcohol involvement and timing characteristics, while policy and macro controls capture state minimum wages, beer excise taxes, inflation indexes, and demographic scale and income levels at the state-year level. Variables: tot_acc_all: Total fatal traffic accidents in the state-year, as counted in FARS aggregates for all crash circumstances. DUI_1620: Alcohol-involved fatal accidents or fatalities involving drivers aged 16–20, consistent with FARS alcohol-impaired measures and age-specific tallies; FARS imputes BAC where missing using established methods. nonDUI_1620: Fatal accidents or fatalities for ages 16–20 that are not classified as alcohol-involved under FARS definitions for the same state-year. tot_acc_nt / tot_acc_dt: Fatal accidents occurring at night versus daytime, matching FARS time-of-day categorizations commonly used in alcohol-impaired crash reporting. tot_acc_we / tot_acc_wd: Fatal accidents occurring on weekends versus weekdays, consistent with FARS day-of-week splits used to describe alcohol-involved crash patterns. ur1620_r: Unemployment rate for ages 16–20 in the state-year, expressed as a rate; captures youth labor market conditions relevant to the age group used in the alcohol-involved outcomes. pop: Total state population, annual. pop1620: State population ages 16–20, annual. lpop: Log of total state population, facilitating scale normalization in regression specifications and descriptive summaries. pc_perinc: Per capita personal income (nominal) at the state-year level. lpc_perinc: Log of per capita personal income, providing a scaled income control. cpi: Consumer Price Index level used to convert nominal variables; precise index definition follows the replication package documentation. cpi2006: CPI re-based to a 2006 index (e.g., 2006=100) to align deflation across series within the dataset. mw2: State minimum wage level (nominal), defined as the binding minimum in the state-year (state or federal), consistent with standard minimum wage series used in policy analyses. mwdef: Deflated or standardized minimum wage measure (e.g., real minimum wage using the included CPI), enabling comparisons over time within states. beertax: Nominal beer excise tax per unit (e.g., per gallon) at the state-year level, capturing alcohol price policy.realbeertax: Beer tax adjusted for inflation using the included CPI series for real comparisons across years. bac: Indicator for the state per se blood alcohol concentration (BAC) legal limit regime (e.g., .08 per se), reflecting contemporaneous legal environment for impaired driving enforcement."
file0d9a4af36a05239b8ea0d51a0377cea6749a51873e6544b689c4b84f41c0bc53· frame — - 1Turno do modelo
call_7cd714ddnaive-olsFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Linha de base ingênua: o item não declara o resultado e o tratamento, então não há regressão ingênua a fazer e nenhuma estimativa é citada.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [] }
- 2Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- —
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 3Resposta
Linha de base ingênua: o item não declara o resultado e o tratamento, então não há regressão ingênua a fazer e nenhuma estimativa é citada.
Figuras citadas:—· Parada:answered - 4Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 5Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 |
|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | falhou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
e7bdddfe0bd6c7a8c9215597463ec825ef6da9a59f5a097075eaf19d1f3cad08O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
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| attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json | 2,4 KB | 433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420 |
| attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json | 64,0 KB | 52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b |
| attachments/6f1b3b9f0f28025643c11b915fab87445d6c9b4a3af01ea079f797df6e6153ba.json | 138 B | 6f1b3b9f0f28025643c11b915fab87445d6c9b4a3af01ea079f797df6e6153ba |
| attachments/7fd4f29aa8c2a78387bcf24ac5a5b8632b201cc9de72ba6e315a44291a126e75.json | 3,8 KB | 7fd4f29aa8c2a78387bcf24ac5a5b8632b201cc9de72ba6e315a44291a126e75 |
| native/causcibench_real/causcibench_real.q052.e1.a1.json | 1,5 KB | f6472e9a1ce99f9f04261ce298f17dc1b9a5323fdce6c1d50a79da0db5e1bb68 |
| sources/causcibench_real.gold.q052.json | 1,2 KB | ad729556384242113d621d924b24a3a324604e23787a2fe722c823fd723f1ca7 |
| specs/causcibench_real.q052.json | 6,6 KB | 0c13cd6d3665d27f76f6be39716feacab76618326e0324e4df8ee9e4b53f0e70 |
| traces/causcibench_real.q052.e1.a1.jsonl | 9,4 KB | 55f40ffa598cfe28e3a20470cb344eac21aa0a13c87d8178588b61fd7f83502c |
| trajectories/causcibench_real.q052.e1.a1.jsonl | 6,6 KB | 6dfd532fd97f5661631531d2ab737d293dc45a2259507d94df312bff513b7c39 |