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Tarefa causcibench_real.q107

causcibench_realagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T171142Z-suite-causcibench_real-naive-d6494d

Veredito

falhouDecidida pela verificação 1: figura da resposta próxima, fora da tolerância.
-0.06027345409 vs -0.029

Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): ols (regression)

Pergunta feita ao analista

Does the distance to nuclear facilities influence the difference in a person's support for nuclear or wind energy?

Resposta

Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.Dist_nuclear = -0,06027.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

causcibench_real.gold.q107

Fonte
CauSciBench real split, data/metadata_json/real_input.json at d9bb43a, id 107
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
real_input.json, record id 107: fields effect and std_error
Trecho
id 107 effect -0.029 std_error 0.043
Valor como publicado
-0.029
Erro-padrão como publicado
0.043
Valor
-0,029-0.029 (se 0,0430.043)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Written by scripts/freeze_causcibench_real.py from the pinned file; equal to the `answer` and `std_error` of the same id in data/metadata_csv/real_input.csv at the pin.
sha256 da cópia lida
c1f4c8930675afff63d816d8ed066941ae92697e7bfc31e9d38519398dd80438 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/causalNLP/CauSciBench/d9bb43a2d90f261978cc5ac0b628c0484f6e8956/data/metadata_json/real_input.json
Licença
CauSciBench repository (MIT for code; metadata as published in the repository)
  • #1 figura da resposta próxima: -0,029-0.029 · relativa 0.05

Verificações

Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
#VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
0resposta com lastro
every number backed
obrigatóriapassou—[]———
1figura da resposta próxima
-0.06027345409 vs -0.029
obrigatóriafalhou-0,029-0.029-0,0602735-0.060273454093867265relativa 0.05causcibench_real.gold.q107call_6437f502

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

Nenhum caminho de referência registrado para esta tarefa.

Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

  1. 0Início

    Does the distance to nuclear facilities influence the difference in a person's support for nuclear or wind energy?

    uji_comparing_public (agent)

    This data comes from a survey administered in the state of Washington. Adults 18 years and older were first asked to read about the challenges to addressing the rising demands of energy while meeting decarbonization goals. To begin with, the participants were asked to answer attention-check questions. These were multiple-choice questions. Then, the participants were asked to indicate their degree of support for nuclear and wind energy sources. Additionally, participants were asked questions about factors that explain their preference for wind or nuclear energy sources. Dataset Variables: Outcome: The difference in support level between nuclear and wind (nuclear support % minus wind support %) Nuclear: Level of nuclear support (0-100%) Wind: Level of wind support (0-100%) Dist_nuclear: Distance in miles from respondent's county to the Richland nuclear power plant Dist_wind: Distance in miles from respondent's county to the closest wind facility Region: Geographic region (Eastern or Western Washington) Urban_rural: Binary variable indicating whether respondents live in urban (county population >10,000) or rural areas; 1 = urban, 0 = rural Health: Importance attached to health effects of electricity generation and waste disposal (scale 1-4, where 1=""not important at all"", 4=""very important"") Job: Importance attached to local jobs and economic benefits (scale 1-4, where 1=""not important at all"", 4=""very important"") Landscape: Importance attached to disruption of the rural landscape (scale 1-4, where 1=""not important at all"", 4=""very important"") Supply: Importance attached to reliability of electricity supply (scale 1-4, where 1=""not important at all"", 4=""very important"") Trust_reg: Trust in the federal Nuclear Regulatory Commission (1 = no trust at all, 4 = trust very strongly) Trust_health: Trust in Washington State Department of Health (1 = no trust at all, 4 = trust very strongly) Trust_plant: Trust in nuclear plant operators (1 = no trust at all, 4 = trust very strongly) Env: Environmental attitude - priority given to environmental protection (1) vs. economic growth (2) Gender: Respondent gender Age: Age categories by birth year (1946-1964, 1965-1996, After 1996) Income: Income categories ($40,000-$69,999, $70,000-$104,999, $105,000-$159,999, $160,000+) Education: Education level (High school incomplete, High school, College no degree, 4 yrs college, Graduate school) Race: Racial/ethnic identification Religion: Religious affiliation PID: Party identification (Democrat, Independent, Republican) AC1: Attention check question 1 answer AC2: Attention check question 2 answer AC3: Attention check question 3 answer AC: Overall attention check performance

    file 0e30ede65f1813f395da3b4d7651a61c9175218a40234d89387f16625a25b596 · frame —
  2. 1Turno do modelo
    call_f57c2628naive-olsFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Texto visível

    Linha de base ingênua: regressão do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.

    Chamadas pedidas
    • infer.ols
      {
        "dataset": "uji_comparing_public",
        "x": [
          "Dist_nuclear"
        ],
        "y": "Outcome"
      }
  3. 2Ferramenta
    infer.olsv0.1.0call_6437f502decidido pelo modeloreexecutável

    Motivo: Linha de base ingênua: regressão do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.

    Argumentos
    {
      "cluster": null,
      "controls": [],
      "dataset": "uji_comparing_public",
      "fe": [],
      "intercept": true,
      "level": 0.95,
      "se": "HC1",
      "subset": null,
      "weights": null,
      "x": [
        "Dist_nuclear"
      ],
      "y": "Outcome"
    }
    Figuras call_6437f502
    ChaveValorValor brutoErro-padrãoIC
    coef.Dist_nuclear
    Coefficient on Dist_nuclear in the regression of Outcome
    -0,0602735 -0.0602734540938672650,04056740.04056741484797001-0,139895 – 0,0193482
    Diagnósticos
    • n_obs = 870870
    • k = 22
    • r2 = 0,002477580.002477584945804301
    • df_resid = 868868
    • se_type = "HC1"
    • n_clusters = —
    Tabelas (1)
    {
      "coefficients": [
        {
          "ci_high": 6.311796463058941,
          "ci_low": -18.116709615368745,
          "coef": -5.9024565761549015,
          "p": 0.3431582431671008,
          "se": 6.2231865654125125,
          "t": -0.9484620964056939,
          "term": "Intercept"
        },
        {
          "ci_high": 0.019348242104954866,
          "ci_low": -0.1398951502926894,
          "coef": -0.060273454093867265,
          "p": 0.13770563268569697,
          "se": 0.04056741484797001,
          "t": -1.4857602911042616,
          "term": "Dist_nuclear"
        }
      ]
    }
    Digests dos dados
    uji_comparing_public bcea4f34f4719da0943bfd1db0ae04e6210d486951f4b49d95bc61c4fa86087d
    sha256 do resultado
    74876caced4ba5911c1ec24ed09f024a1cb5cfd7b70a271da65017fc206afbc8
  4. 3Turno do modelo
    call_9a368c3anaive-olsFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Chamadas pedidas
    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
      {
        "answer": "Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.Dist_nuclear = -0,06027.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": [
          "call_6437f502:coef.Dist_nuclear"
        ]
      }
  5. 4Guarda
    resposta aceita
    Números encontrados
    -0,06027
    Sem lastro
    —
    Não citados
    —
    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
  6. 5Resposta

    Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.Dist_nuclear = -0,06027.

    Figuras citadas: call_6437f502:coef.Dist_nuclear · Parada: answered
    Figura da resposta: call_6437f502:coef.Dist_nuclear = -0,0602735-0.060273454093867265 (se 0,04056740.04056741484797001)
  7. 6Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
  8. 7Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória-0.06027345409 vs -0.029

Épocas × verificações

Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
#01
Época 1passoufalhou

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

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