Tarefa causcibench_real.q158

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Pergunta feita ao analista

Do legislators respond differently by race when a Democratic partisan signal is included?

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1. 0Início

   Do legislators respond differently by race when a Democratic partisan signal is included?

   butler_do_politicians (agent)

   This study utilizes randomized field experiments to examine the interactions between constituents and state legislators across the United States during October 2008. Legislators across multiple states were sent an email asking for help with the voter registration process for the primary election using black (DeShawn Jackson) or white alias names (Jake Mueller). The sender name, the legislature receiving the email, and the (hypothetical) party affiliation of the sender were randomly assigned. Not all letters included information on which political party's primary election the sender was interested in. Legislative offices were contacted through official email addresses posted on state government websites. The outcome of interest is whether the legislator responded by the November election date or not. Variable Descriptions: leg_party: Political party affiliation of the state legislator (R = Republican, D = Democrat) leg_republican: Binary indicator for legislators affiliated with the Republican Party leg_black: Binary indicator for legislators who identify as Black or African American leg_latino: Binary indicator for legislators who identify as Latino or Hispanic leg_white: Binary indicator for legislators who identify as white leg_notwhite: Binary indicator for legislators who identify as non-white leg_notblackotherminority: Binary indicator for legislators who identify as minorities other than Black (including Latino, Asian American, Native American, and Arab American legislators) reply_atall: Binary indicator for whether the legislative office provided any form of response to the constituent inquiry treat_deshawn: Binary indicator for communications associated with the name ""DeShawn Jackson"" treat_jake: Binary indicator for communications associated with the name ""Jake Mueller"" treat_group: Categorical variable indicating the specific combination of communication characteristics treat_demprimary: Binary indicator for communications that mentioned interest in Democratic primary elections treat_repprimary: Binary indicator for communications that mentioned interest in Republican primary elections treat_noprimary: Binary indicator for communications that did not specify any particular primary election interest treat_primary: Binary indicator for communications that included any reference to primary election participation (either Democratic or Republican)

   file da070187b161931eb60102008c9fe7907e4660438519fa9b9656a45d317d70df · frame —
2. 1Turno do modelo
   call_ee7c0c02naive-olsFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Texto visível

   Linha de base ingênua: regressão do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.

   Chamadas pedidas

   • infer.ols

     {
       "dataset": "butler_do_politicians",
       "x": [
         "treat_deshawn"
       ],
       "y": "reply_atall"
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
3. 2Ferramenta
   infer.olsv0.1.0call_0512a251decidido pelo modeloreexecutável

   Motivo: Linha de base ingênua: regressão do resultado no tratamento, sem controles.

   Argumentos

   {
     "cluster": null,
     "controls": [],
     "dataset": "butler_do_politicians",
     "fe": [],
     "intercept": true,
     "level": 0.95,
     "se": "HC1",
     "subset": null,
     "weights": null,
     "x": [
       "treat_deshawn"
     ],
     "y": "reply_atall"
   }

   Figuras call_0512a251

   Chave	Valor	Valor bruto	Erro-padrão	IC
   coef.treat_deshawn Coefficient on treat_deshawn in the regression of reply_atall	-0,0178242	-0.017824238945471624	0,01422350.014223500324634713	-0,0457087 – 0,0100603

   Diagnósticos

   • n_obs = 4.8594859
   • k = 22
   • r2 = 0,0003232240.00032322359701220105
   • df_resid = 4.8574857
   • se_type = "HC1"
   • n_clusters = —

   Tabelas (1)

   {
     "coefficients": [
       {
         "ci_high": 0.5939137015970791,
         "ci_low": 0.5545848586661871,
         "coef": 0.5742492801316331,
         "p": 0,
         "se": 0.01003055222763491,
         "t": 57.2500164596655,
         "term": "Intercept"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 0.010060258213811346,
         "ci_low": -0.045708736104754594,
         "coef": -0.017824238945471624,
         "p": 0.21020992334012087,
         "se": 0.014223500324634713,
         "t": -1.253154184177894,
         "term": "treat_deshawn"
       }
     ]
   }

   Digests dos dados

   butler_do_politicians 0d32e2cb48fbabd40ab0ec59157724749089ca983ed6cba8ad1f10344a49f900

   sha256 do resultado

   446ebf3d77da11db26540040399cae12ef151d2459c45da997c35456b910bc5a

   Resultado mostrado ao modelo
4. 3Turno do modelo
   call_8d2be228naive-olsFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Chamadas pedidas

   • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)

     {
       "answer": "Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.treat_deshawn = -0,01782.",
       "caveats": [],
       "figure_refs": [
         "call_0512a251:coef.treat_deshawn"
       ]
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
5. 4Guarda
   resposta aceita

   Números encontrados

   -0,01782

   Sem lastro

   —

   Não citados

   —

   1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
6. 5Resposta

   Estimativa ingênua (infer.ols): coef.treat_deshawn = -0,01782.

   Figuras citadas: call_0512a251:coef.treat_deshawn · Parada: answered

   Figura da resposta: call_0512a251:coef.treat_deshawn = -0,0178242-0.017824238945471624 (se 0,01422350.014223500324634713)
7. 6Pontuação
   #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
8. 7Pontuação
   #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatória-0.01782423895 vs 0.019

Épocas × verificações

Tentativas

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• época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)

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