Tarefa paper_repro.mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.tool
paper_reprotoolT1publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T183517Z-suite-paper_repro-gemini-0cda63Veredito
Pergunta feita ao analista
Tarefa de ferramenta: nenhuma pergunta; a especificação de referência é chamada direto.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.software
- Fonte
- statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of mmv_2011 tab20_1_c2 (infer.rdd, figure 'effect') on an independent code path
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- mmv_2011: Table 20.1 (The Effect of Government Payments on Support, Regression Discontinuity Estimates), column 'Linear with Kernel Weight', row 'Participation'
- Valor
- 0,0334818
0.03348175396085784(se 0,04419590.04419589592144583) - Conferido por
- execução de software · sm.WLS(weights=1 - |d|/h)(Support, [const, treat, d·(1-treat), d·treat]).fit(cov_type='HC1') with d = Income_Below - 0, rows |d| <= 0.01, treat = d >= 0 on gov_transfers (the file pinned at sha256 51312ecd5b3cb22b5dc027966a81e0a8579f24a708ce4b476674fc527652ebd0, after its 1 declared transforms); n_obs = 1948, n_left = 400, n_right = 537. The tool infer.rdd (magi_infer, numpy) does not call statsmodels. Note: the strict rule (|d| < h, treated when d > 0) selects the same rows and treatment. Written by scripts/paper_repro_reference.py.
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- Endereço
https://pypi.org/project/statsmodels/0.15.0/
- #0 figura próxima: 0,0334818
0.03348175396085784· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.419589592144583e-8 - #1 figura próxima: 0,0441959
0.04419589592144583· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.419589592144583e-8
mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.paper
- Fonte
- Huntington-Klein, N. (2021). The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality. CRC Press; online edition, chapter 20 (Regression Discontinuity), replicating Manacorda, Miguel and Vigorito (2011), AEJ: Applied 3(3): 1-28.
- Tipo
- textbook
- Localização
- Table 20.1 (The Effect of Government Payments on Support, Regression Discontinuity Estimates), column 'Linear with Kernel Weight', row 'Participation'
- Página
- online edition, chapter 20, Table 20.1
- Trecho
Participation 0.033 (0.021)
- Valor como publicado
0.033- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.021- Valor
- 0,033
0.033(se 0,0210.021) support for the government (0, 0.5, 1) - Conferido por
- fonte primária · Read on 2026-10-15 from the free online edition of The Effect (theeffectbook.net, chapter 20); read_copy_sha256 is the sha256 of the chapter's decompressed HTML as served that day. Table 20.1 is a modelsummary table of the R code printed above it: Support on Income_Centered*Participation plus I(Income_Centered^2)*Participation (column 'Quadratic', all 1,948 households) and Support on Income_Centered*Participation weighted by max(0, 1 - 100|Income_Centered|) (column 'Linear with Kernel Weight', Num.Obs. 937); the table's last rows state 'Std.Errors HC3 HC3'. Data check made before any estimate: Participation equals (Income_Centered <= 0) on every row, no row has Income_Centered exactly 0 or exactly 0.01 in absolute value, every |Income_Centered| is below 0.02, and 937 rows lie strictly within 0.01 of the cutoff (400 above it, 537 below), as the table's Num.Obs.
- sha256 da cópia lida
b6f751cfa056dc32718bdd79f6b25518a6acd9e9923a8fd12ef29ac9342413eb(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Desvio conhecido
- não conferidoRecorded before this track's software-reference run and before any dry run, from the printed table and the research probe: Table 20.1 states that its standard errors are HC3, while infer.rdd computes HC1 (its only unclustered option); the research note (research-papers.md section 3.15, 2026-10-14) already reported an HC1 error near 0.044 for this specification against the printed 0.021. The printed cell is recorded and non-required on T1. Corrected at the B-join review: the HC type does not explain the gap. The column's printed coefficients match exactly, while the HC0, HC1, HC3 and classical errors of this weighted fit (0.037 to 0.0445) all differ from the printed 0.021; the convention behind the printed SE is not documented, so the kind is unverified (SE only; it was se_convention).
- Endereço
https://theeffectbook.net/ch-RegressionDiscontinuity.html- Licença
- Copyright Nick Huntington-Klein (The Effect, CRC Press); cited, not reproduced.
- #2 figura próxima: 0,033
0.033· published_cell d=3 · absoluta 0.000500001 - #3 figura próxima: 0,021
0.021· published_cell d=3 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000500001
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | figura próxima 0.03348175396 vs 0.03348175396085784 | obrigatória | passou | 0,03348180.03348175396085784 | 0,03348180.03348175396085768 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.419589592144583e-8 | mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.software | — |
| 1 | figura próxima 0.04419589592 vs 0.04419589592144583 | obrigatória | passou | 0,04419590.04419589592144583 | 0,04419590.04419589592144589 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 4.419589592144583e-8 | mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.software | — |
| 2 | figura próxima 0.03348175396 vs 0.033 | obrigatória | passou | 0,0330.033 | 0,03348180.03348175396085768 | published_cell d=3 · absoluta 0.000500001 | mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.paper | — |
| 3 | figura próxima 0.04419589592 vs 0.021 | registrada | falhou | 0,0210.021 | 0,04419590.04419589592144589 | published_cell d=3 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000500001 | mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.paper | — |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
a própria especificação da tarefa
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| bandwidth | 0,010.01 | 0,010.01 | igual |
| cluster | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| cutoff | 00 | 00 | igual |
| dataset | "gov_transfers" | "gov_transfers" | igual |
| kernel | "triangular" | "triangular" | igual |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| polynomial | 11 | 11 | igual |
| running | "Income_Below" | "Income_Below" | igual |
| subset | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| y | "Support" | "Support" | igual |
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
Tarefa de ferramenta: nenhuma pergunta; a especificação de referência é chamada direto.
gov_transfers(agent)Households near the income cutoff of Uruguay's PANES cash-transfer programme, the extract of the survey of Manacorda, Miguel and Vigorito (2011), 'Government Transfers and Political Support', distributed with the causaldata R package and used in chapter 20 of Huntington-Klein's 'The Effect': one row per household (1,948 rows), only households whose income measure is within 0.02 of the cutoff. Households below the cutoff were eligible for the transfers. Columns: rownames, the row number; Income_Centered, the household's income measure minus the eligibility cutoff (negative values are below the cutoff, hence eligible); Income_Below, minus Income_Centered, added by the task author: how far below the cutoff the household's income measure is (positive values are eligible); Education, average years of education of household members aged 16 and older (missing for some households); Age, average age of household members; Participation, 1 if the household participated in the transfer programme; Support, the household's support for the government (0, 0.5 or 1; higher means more support).
file51312ecd5b3cb22b5dc027966a81e0a8579f24a708ce4b476674fc527652ebd0· frame —derive{"args":{"column":"Income_Centered"},"name":"Income_Below","op":"negate"}
- 1Transformação
gov_transfers·derive{"args":{"column":"Income_Centered"},"name":"Income_Below","op":"negate"}1948 → 1948 linhasFrame antes → depois:2600b9da8866→ee25bc867239 - 2Ferramenta
infer.rddv0.1.0call_89595a21decidido pelo códigoreexecutávelArgumentos
{ "bandwidth": 0.01, "cluster": null, "cutoff": 0, "dataset": "gov_transfers", "kernel": "triangular", "level": 0.95, "polynomial": 1, "running": "Income_Below", "subset": null, "y": "Support" }Figuras call_89595a21 Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC effect Jump in Support at the cutoff of Income_Below0,0334818 0.033481753960857680,0441959 0.04419589592144589-0,0531406 – 0,120104 Diagnósticosbandwidth= 0,010.01bandwidth_method="user"n_left= 400400n_right= 537537kernel="triangular"polynomial= 11bandwidth_sensitive=falsen_obs= 1.9481948se_type="HC1"
Tabelas (1)
{ "sensitivity": [ { "bandwidth": 0.005, "ci_high": 0.11400899969691185, "ci_low": -0.16831958537112499, "estimate": -0.027155292837106566, "multiplier": 0.5, "n_left": 186, "n_right": 276, "se": 0.07202392168810465 }, { "bandwidth": 0.01, "ci_high": 0.12010411823137229, "ci_low": -0.05314061030965694, "estimate": 0.03348175396085768, "multiplier": 1, "n_left": 400, "n_right": 537, "se": 0.04419589592144589 }, { "bandwidth": 0.02, "ci_high": 0.15743353252374911, "ci_low": 0.0342718586238353, "estimate": 0.09585269557379221, "multiplier": 2, "n_left": 821, "n_right": 1127, "se": 0.03141937170055098 } ] }- Digests dos dados
gov_transfersee25bc8672392d74aa124b1f295a152c7535bd2d306ed08a52b235e4ddbe5113- sha256 do resultado
7c99d50d6a1311188dea4b8b3f46d8f1d6bc7a11420989826bd703e1c80a72b8
- 3Pontuação#0figura próximapassouobrigatória
0.03348175396 vs 0.03348175396085784 - 4Pontuação#1figura próximapassouobrigatória
0.04419589592 vs 0.04419589592144583 - 5Pontuação#2figura próximapassouobrigatória
0.03348175396 vs 0.033 - 6Pontuação#3figura próximafalhouregistrada
0.04419589592 vs 0.021
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | passou | passou | falhou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
ddb0551774e09f574253bd8d7fe1b0139dd994587255697ec8570018861d99e3O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
|---|---|---|
| sources/mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.paper.json | 2,9 KB | 4fb38d0f878f500514322bdc3defabee0017164ac1a315d3f7dac239abe70ff4 |
| sources/mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.software.json | 1,4 KB | 8468ad5147c0b056840c6447f8a9a97c76fd843d855294f03517da1f7b685fe5 |
| specs/paper_repro.mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.tool.json | 6,1 KB | 97c69794d5c871c08e7f5f50a9d8c44063eedcac41b37e8403f2d0ba4aee5a6c |
| traces/paper_repro.mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.tool.e1.a1.jsonl | 4,9 KB | 300b05df901fe9941bd503763a58b06535586742f1547825a9108bcc9741f164 |
| trajectories/paper_repro.mmv_2011.tab20_1_c2.tool.e1.a1.jsonl | 8,8 KB | 1983f6cb983e201fb0dd6bd6e382f1355a00ba88b615bf7b09c03af43e2e8ca9 |