Tarefa paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.design
paper_reproagentT3designépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T165911Z-suite-paper_repro-baseline-8b4f85Veredito
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator callPergunta feita ao analista
Did the castle doctrine (stand-your-ground) laws that U.S. states adopted between 2000 and 2010, which widened the right to use lethal force in self-defence, deter crime or escalate violence? Using the state panel for 2000-2010, estimate the effect of these laws on the log homicide rate faced by the average U.S. resident.
Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.software
- Fonte
- statsmodels 0.15.0: the reference specification of cheng_hoekstra_2013 tab5_pa_c1 (infer.ols, figure 'coef.cdl') on an independent code path
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- cheng_hoekstra_2013: NBER Working Paper 18134, Table 5, Panel A 'Log Homicide Rate (OLS - Weighted)', column (1) state and year fixed effects, row 'Castle Doctrine Law'
- Valor
- 0,0800635
0.08006351033824417(se 0,03589850.03589849411715782) - Conferido por
- execução de software · sm.WLS(l_homicide, add_constant(['cdl']), fe dummies ['sid', 'year'], weights=popwt; 61 independent columns).fit(cov_type='cluster', groups=sid) on castle (the file pinned at sha256 804633c161827b6c0824f86f239046386d1a8266a866f83bf5ddb2aa762a5f29); n_obs = 550. The tool infer.ols (magi_infer, numpy) does not call statsmodels. Written by scripts/paper_repro_reference.py.
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- Endereço
https://pypi.org/project/statsmodels/0.15.0/
- #11 figura da resposta próxima: 0,0800635
0.08006351033824417· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8 - #12 figura da resposta próxima: 0,0358985
0.03589849411715782· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8
cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.paper
- Fonte
- Cheng, C. and Hoekstra, M. (2013). Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine. Journal of Human Resources 48(3): 821-854. Cells read from the NBER Working Paper 18134 (June 2012).
- Tipo
- paper
- Localização
- NBER Working Paper 18134, Table 5 (the effect of castle doctrine on homicide), Panel A 'Log Homicide Rate (OLS - Weighted)', column (1), row 'Castle Doctrine Law'
- Página
- 38
- Trecho
Panel A: Castle Doctrine Law 0.0801 (0.0342)
- Valor como publicado
0.0801- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.0342- Valor
- 0,0801
0.0801(se 0,03420.0342) log points of the homicide rate per unit of the castle doctrine law variable - Conferido por
- fonte primária · Read on 2026-10-15 from the NBER Working Paper 18134 PDF (43 pages, created 2012-06-28) with pdftotext -layout and from the page image rendered at 80 dpi: Table 5 'The Effect of Castle Doctrine on Homicide' is on PDF page 40 (printed page 38). The published JHR version (48(3), 2013) could not be read without a subscription, so the cells are the authors' circulated working-paper version. The notes say 'Robust standard errors are clustered at the state level'; the unit is the state-year; 550 observations in every column. Panel A is weighted (by state population, 'OLS - Weighted'), Panel B unweighted. Column (1) has state and year fixed effects; column (2) adds region-by-year fixed effects.
- sha256 da cópia lida
1283a9c1e37ea2114e36b6c48ffc7c3fc0f26b2334f08c1a60ffbe82f3005682(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Desvio conhecido
- convenção de erro-padrãoRecorded before the software-reference run and before any dry run of this track, from the phase-B research probe (research-papers.md sections 2.4 and 3.9, 2026-10-14): infer.ols with state and year fixed effects as dummies, population weights and errors clustered by state gives the printed coefficients but SEs of 0.0359 and 0.0293 against the printed 0.0342 and 0.0279, a ratio of about sqrt((N-k)/(N-K)) (k: the regressors left after absorbing the state effects, as Stata xtreg, fe counts them; K: the full dummy count): the authors' clustered errors do not count the state effects, which are nested in the clusters, in K (Stata xtreg, fe), while the dummy-variable convention does.
- Endereço
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w18134/w18134.pdf- Licença
- NBER working paper, copyright the authors; cited, not reproduced.
- #13 figura da resposta próxima: 0,0801
0.0801· published_cell d=4 · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005 - #14 figura da resposta próxima: 0,0342
0.0342· published_cell d=4 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta escolhida no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | uma entre tool_called(infer.ols): no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | tool_called(infer.twfe): no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | [{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"answer_call","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"tool_called","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.ols","value":null,"weight":1,"where":null},{"abs_tol":null,"bind":"answer_call","column":null,"failure_class":null,"field":"value","interval":false,"key":null,"kind":"tool_called","min_lre":null,"note":"","open_interval":false,"rel_tol":null,"required":true,"source_id":null,"table":null,"tool":"infer.twfe","value":null,"weight":1,"where":null}] | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | argumento igual no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | "l_homicide" | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | argumento igual no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | "cdl" | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | argumento igual no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | "l_homicide" | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | argumento igual no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | obrigatória | falhou | "post" | — | — | — | — |
| 7 | argumento igual no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | "l_homicide" | — | — | — | — |
| 8 | argumento igual no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | ["cdl"] | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | argumento igual no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | "popwt" | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | diagnóstico no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 550550 | — | default rel 1e-6 (abs floor 1e-6) | — | — |
| 11 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,08006350.08006351033824417 | — | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8 | cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.software | — |
| 12 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,03589850.03589849411715782 | — | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 3.589849411715782e-8 | cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.software | — |
| 13 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,08010.0801 | — | published_cell d=4 · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005 | cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.paper | — |
| 14 | figura da resposta próxima no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | registrada | falhou | 0,03420.0342 | — | published_cell d=4 (the SE as printed) · absoluta 0.000050001000000000005 | cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.paper | — |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
a tarefa T1 do mesmo alvo (paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.tool)
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
Did the castle doctrine (stand-your-ground) laws that U.S. states adopted between 2000 and 2010, which widened the right to use lethal force in self-defence, deter crime or escalate violence? Using the state panel for 2000-2010, estimate the effect of these laws on the log homicide rate faced by the average U.S. resident.
castle(agent)The state-year panel of Cheng and Hoekstra (2013), 'Does Strengthening Self-Defense Law Deter Crime or Escalate Violence? Evidence from Expansions to Castle Doctrine', as distributed with Cunningham's Causal Inference: The Mixtape: one row per U.S. state and year, 2000-2010 (550 rows: 50 states, 11 years). Columns used most: state, the state's name; sid, a numeric state id; year; cdl, the castle doctrine law variable as the paper codes it: the fraction of the year in which the state's castle doctrine (stand-your-ground) law was in effect, 0 before adoption and 1 in full years after it; post, 1 in every year from the adoption year on (any part of the year); effyear and treatment_date, the year the law took effect (missing for states that never adopted one); homicide, the homicide rate per 100,000 residents (FBI Uniform Crime Reports), and l_homicide its natural log; murder and l_murder, the murder rate and its log; population; popwt, the state's average population over 2000-2010 (constant within a state), the weight the paper's weighted regressions use; northeast, midwest, south, west, census region indicators; r20001 to r20104, region-by-year indicators named r20<two-digit year><region 1-4> (for example r20063 is region 3 in 2006); trend_1 to trend_51, state-specific linear trends; lead1 to lead9 and lag0 to lag5, event-time indicators relative to adoption; other crime rates (robbery, assault, burglary, larceny, motor) and their logs (l_robbery and so on); and the time-varying controls of the paper (police, unemployrt, income, poverty, prisoner, lagprisoner, exp_subsidy, exp_pubwelfare, and the shares of black and white men aged 15-24 and 25-44).
file804633c161827b6c0824f86f239046386d1a8266a866f83bf5ddb2aa762a5f29· frame — - 1Turno do modelo
call_33d67ea8rules-1Fim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [] }
- 2Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- —
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 3Resposta
Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.
Figuras citadas:—· Parada:answered - 4Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 5Pontuação#1figura da resposta escolhidafalhouobrigatória
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 6Pontuação#2uma entrefalhouobrigatória
tool_called(infer.ols): no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call | tool_called(infer.twfe): no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 7Pontuação#3argumento igualfalhouobrigatória
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 8Pontuação#4argumento igualfalhouobrigatória
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 9Pontuação#5argumento igualfalhouobrigatória
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 10Pontuação#6argumento igualfalhouobrigatória
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 11Pontuação#7argumento igualfalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 12Pontuação#8argumento igualfalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 13Pontuação#9argumento igualfalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 14Pontuação#10diagnósticofalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 15Pontuação#11figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 16Pontuação#12figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 17Pontuação#13figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call - 18Pontuação#14figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou | falhou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1falhoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
c0961f9ae32a802b408941688d891c1a7edb9487c07cd5419bcf3e8648a933cbO hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
|---|---|---|
| attachments/3e405409ff9b234c71b55f899412215931f375d5086600a3fde8b9f48588338f.json | 7,1 KB | 3e405409ff9b234c71b55f899412215931f375d5086600a3fde8b9f48588338f |
| attachments/433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420.json | 2,4 KB | 433a6877aa6a378bbd4b7e2752e484d8cb7499c562d68222be231f62ff2fa420 |
| attachments/52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b.json | 64,0 KB | 52ab03d8ec104abb85572294bf8a469d75c5de9e74d6042caabff8017adc572b |
| attachments/abd9ebe2bb0e4c367bdda1069cbf0dfd70fd5fd8d914717100caa8ee58711a9e.json | 348 B | abd9ebe2bb0e4c367bdda1069cbf0dfd70fd5fd8d914717100caa8ee58711a9e |
| sources/cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.paper.json | 2,7 KB | 1383de820bdad85e0e0601037b9ed1dea63192f75a8ff89a3e79630839ded116 |
| sources/cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.software.json | 1,3 KB | e678095abc0a684318b3acd9e9b7c362319bed8e817c16368ee244e4f0884827 |
| specs/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.design.json | 12,7 KB | 39275dbb4b3360802149c33a758152590b6d451f40d29f262a4d9d671e0cffe3 |
| traces/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.design.e1.a1.jsonl | 12,9 KB | 68426cb9f690cd391d81106132a3e4db135b1d40f51d2f5fb040e417ea99e7c6 |
| trajectories/paper_repro.cheng_hoekstra_2013.tab5_pa_c1.design.e1.a1.jsonl | 13,1 KB | 551aa0dac7c62286a026e340230a56253afe3b593096384bde877eab7cb232b6 |