Tarefa crb_papers.q072

Veredito

Pergunta feita ao analista

What is the causal effect of increasing the share of a respondent's siblings who are female (share_sis) on a male respondent's 1973 gender-role attitude (womens_rights73) in the PSP sample of men with at least one younger sibling?

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Trajetória

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1. 0Início

   What is the causal effect of increasing the share of a respondent's siblings who are female (share_sis) on a male respondent's 1973 gender-role attitude (womens_rights73) in the PSP sample of men with at least one younger sibling?

   ds_0042 (agent)

   | Variable Name | Description | |------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | id_no | Unique respondent identifier for each row in the dataset. | | PSU | Primary sampling unit identifier from the survey design (cluster id used in analysis). | | political_interest73 | Self-reported interest in politics measured in the 1973 wave (coded scale). | | govt_provide_jobs73 | Agreement/disagreement in 1973 with government providing jobs (coded response). | | protect_accused73 | Attitude in 1973 toward protecting the rights of the accused (coded response). | | minority_rights_view73 | Respondent’s 1973 view on minority rights (scale-coded). | | legalize_mj73 | Position in 1973 on legalizing marijuana (coded response). | | busing_view73 | Attitude in 1973 toward school busing/desegregation (coded response). | | womens_rights73 | Response to a 1973 question about women’s role (gender-role item, scale from egalitarian to traditional). | | othmen_womens_rights73 | Respondent’s estimate of where other men stand on the 1973 women’s-role question (perceived norm). | | ideology73 | Self-placement on an ideological scale in 1973 (coded). | | people_can_be_trusted73 | 1973 response to item on whether people can generally be trusted (trust scale). | | detailed_party_id73 | Expanded/more detailed party identification variable recorded in 1973 (multi-category). | | voted73 | Self-reported voting behavior/participation around the 1973 wave (coded). | | congvote73 | Congressional vote preference or behavior reported in 1973 (coded). | | mother_party_id73 | Mother’s party identification as recorded in 1973 (coded). | | spouse_college73 | Indicator or coding for whether the respondent’s spouse had a college education as of 1973. | | work_status73 | Respondent employment/work status in 1973 (coded). | | married73 | Marital status indicator in 1973 (coded). | | nonwhite73 | Race indicator for respondent in 1973 (nonwhite flag). | | num_bro | Count of the respondent’s brothers. | | num_sis | Count of the respondent’s sisters. | | age | Respondent age in years (at the recorded wave). | | closest_brother | Age (in years) of the nearest younger brother, or a missing flag (-1) if not applicable. | | closest_sister | Age (in years) of the nearest younger sister, or a missing flag (-1) if not applicable. | | closest | Indicator for the gender of the next-youngest/nearest younger sibling (coded to denote sister vs brother). | | democrat65 | Respondent indicator/coding for Democratic identification in the 1965 wave. | | johnson | Indicator/response showing support for Lyndon B. Johnson (1964/65 context). | | goldwater | Indicator/response showing support for Barry Goldwater (1964 context). | | spouse_chore | Respondent’s report on distribution of household chores with spouse (coded response). | | num_son | Number of sons the respondent has (count). | | num_daughter | Number of daughters the respondent has (count). | | age_son1 | Age of first son (years), if applicable. | | age_daughter1 | Age of first daughter (years), if applicable. | | age_son2 | Age of second son (years), if applicable. | | age_daughter2 | Age of second daughter (years), if applicable. | | age_son3 | Age of third son (years), if applicable. | | age_daughter3 | Age of third daughter (years), if applicable. | | age_son4 | Age of fourth son (years), if applicable. | | age_daughter4 | Age of fourth daughter (years), if applicable. | | age_son5 | Age of fifth son (years), if applicable. | | age_daughter5 | Age of fifth daughter (years), if applicable. | | son_ct | Count/summary field recording number of sons (secondary count variable). | | daughter_ct | Count/summary field recording number of daughters (secondary count variable). | | oldest_son | - | | oldest_daughter | - | | oldest_gender | - | | dem65 | Binary/coded indicator for Democratic identification in 1965 (alternate coding). | | dem73 | Binary/coded indicator for Democratic identification in 1973. | | attend_college73 | Indicator or coding for whether the respondent attended college by 1973. | | income73 | Respondent or household income measure recorded in 1973 (coded/scale). | | father_college | Indicator whether respondent’s father had a college education. | | mother_college | Indicator whether respondent’s mother had a college education. | | democrat_dad | Indicator whether the respondent’s father identified as a Democrat (parent report). | | democrat_mom | Indicator whether the respondent’s mother identified as a Democrat (parent report). | | party_mom | Mother’s party identification (multi-category coding). | | party_dad | Father’s party identification (multi-category coding). | | parent_dem | Summary indicator capturing parental Democratic identification (aggregated/derived). | | parent_johnson | Parent-level indicator of support for Johnson (historical/candidate response). | | parent_ed_father | Father’s educational attainment (coded level). | | parent_ed_mother | Mother’s educational attainment (coded level). | | parent_div_sep65 | Indicator indicating whether parents were divorced/separated as of 1965. | | parent_close_to_child | Measure of parent’s reported closeness to the child (coded scale). | | parent_hoh_ed | Education level of the household head (parental education variable). | | parent_age | Parent’s age (years) as recorded. | | parent_first_gen | Indicator whether a parent was first-generation (e.g., immigrant) (coded). | | parent_grew_up_farm | Indicator whether a parent grew up on a farm. | | parent_rel_attend | Parent’s religious attendance/frequency (coded). | | parent_fam_inc | Parent/family income (coded/scale). | | parent_own_home | Indicator for whether the respondent’s parents owned their home. | | parent_polq_correct | - | | parent_sex | - | | parent_white | Indicator for parent(s) being white (race coding). | | parent_education | Summary parent education variable (coded level or index). | | party_id65 | Respondent’s party identification measure in 1965 (multi-category). | | party_id73 | Respondent’s party identification measure in 1973 (multi-category). | | share_sis | Proportion/share of the respondent’s siblings who are female (computed share of sisters). | | birth_order | Respondent’s birth order among siblings (e.g., 1st, 2nd). | | age_gap | Age gap to nearest sibling or age difference measure (coded). | | new_party73 | Recoded or alternative party identification variable for 1973. | | nixon72 | Indicator of support/vote for Richard Nixon in 1972. | | nixon68 | Indicator of support/vote for Richard Nixon in 1968. | | humphrey | Indicator of support/vote for Hubert Humphrey (1968). | | var1 | - | | var2 | - | | var3 | - | | var4 | - | | var5 | - | | var6 | - | | index73 | Composite index or summary political/ideological score constructed for the 1973 wave. | | num_sib | Total number of siblings (count). | | ideology82 | Self-placement on an ideological scale in 1982. | | womens_rights82 | Response to a 1982 question about women’s role (gender-role item). | | past_womens_rights82 | Respondent’s recollection/perception in 1982 about earlier women’s-role attitudes (coded). | | accused_rights82 | Attitude toward rights of the accused as measured in 1982. | | index82 | Composite index or summary political/ideological score for 1982. | | party_id82 | Respondent party identification in 1982 (multi-category). | | dem82 | Binary/coded indicator for Democratic identification in 1982. | | womens_rights97 | Measure of gender-role attitudes in 1997 (e.g., items on mothers working/remaining at home). | | trad_fam97 | Indicator or scale capturing traditional family attitudes in 1997. | | raise_kid97 | Attitudes in 1997 concerning child-rearing or who should raise kids (coded). | | index97 | Composite index or summary political/ideological score for 1997. | | party_id97 | Respondent party identification in 1997 (multi-category). | | nonwhite | Race indicator (nonwhite) — later or alternate coding for respondent race. | | parent_type | - | | parent_party | Summary/combined parental party identification (derived variable). | | spouse_more | Indicator reporting whether spouse does more housework/chores (respondent’s report). | | newindex73 | Alternative or newly constructed index for the 1973 wave. | | female | Binary indicator for respondent’s sex (female = 1). | | numsib_1 | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 1 sibling (dummy). | | numsib_2 | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 2 siblings (dummy). | | numsib_3 | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 3 siblings (dummy). | | numsib_4 | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 4 siblings (dummy). | | numsib_5 | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 5 siblings (dummy). | | numsib_6 | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 6 siblings (dummy). | | numsib_7 | Indicator variable equal to 1 if respondent has exactly 7 or more siblings (dummy). | Data Description: This file is a harmonized respondent-level extract that primarily draws on the University of Michigan Political Socialization Panel (PSP) instrument across multiple waves (beginning with a cohort interviewed as high‑school seniors in 1965 and reinterviewed in 1973, 1982 and 1997). The table contains repeated measures of political attitudes and party identification, demographic and household composition variables (including detailed sibling counts and ages), parental background measures, respondent family/child variables, and a set of derived indexes and recodings used for analysis. The data were collected via longitudinal panel interviews and coded into survey‑scale and indicator variables; PSU captures the original sampling clusters and several fields are constructed summaries (e.g., indexes and share variables).

   file 0ba55061af1b3a2039d9e9672b3f5b03dac200d04adf6427c58a4488383f06fa · frame —

   ref_iv (reference)

   file 0ba55061af1b3a2039d9e9672b3f5b03dac200d04adf6427c58a4488383f06fa · frame —

   1. filter {"query":"female == 0"}
   2. select {"columns":["womens_rights73","share_sis","closest","num_sib","PSU"]}
   3. dropna {"columns":["womens_rights73","share_sis","closest","num_sib","PSU"]}
2. 1Transformação
   ref_iv · filter {"query":"female == 0"}

   459 → 459 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 07632edb81f5 → 07632edb81f5
3. 2Transformação
   ref_iv · select {"columns":["womens_rights73","share_sis","closest","num_sib","PSU"]}

   459 → 459 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 07632edb81f5 → 63203a78d391
4. 3Transformação
   ref_iv · dropna {"columns":["womens_rights73","share_sis","closest","num_sib","PSU"]}

   459 → 279 linhas

   Frame antes → depois: 63203a78d391 → eda0b6ee80a1
5. 4Turno do modelo
   call_02231d3dreferenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Texto visível

   IV2SLS.from_formula('womens_rights73 ~ 1 + num_sib + [share_sis ~ closest]').fit(cov_type='clustered', clusters=PSU)

   Chamadas pedidas

   • infer.iv_2sls

     {
       "cluster": "PSU",
       "dataset": "ref_iv",
       "endog": [
         "share_sis"
       ],
       "exog": [
         "num_sib"
       ],
       "instruments": [
         "closest"
       ],
       "y": "womens_rights73"
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
6. 5Ferramenta
   infer.iv_2slsv0.1.0call_a0108874decidido pelo modeloreexecutável

   Motivo: IV2SLS.from_formula('womens_rights73 ~ 1 + num_sib + [share_sis ~ closest]').fit(cov_type='clustered', clusters=PSU)

   Argumentos

   {
     "cluster": "PSU",
     "dataset": "ref_iv",
     "endog": [
       "share_sis"
     ],
     "exog": [
       "num_sib"
     ],
     "instruments": [
       "closest"
     ],
     "level": 0.95,
     "se": "HC1",
     "subset": null,
     "y": "womens_rights73"
   }

   Figuras call_a0108874

   Chave	Valor	Valor bruto	Erro-padrão	IC
   coef.share_sis 2SLS effect of share_sis on womens_rights73	0,170565	0.17056526235595182	0,08442630.0844262973565769	0,00278574 – 0,338345

   Diagnósticos

   • first_stage_F.share_sis = 244,47244.4704355339129
   • partial_r2.share_sis = 0,4805520.4805515994665952
   • weak_instrument = false
   • n_obs = 279279
   • se_type = "cluster"
   • n_clusters = 8989

   Tabelas (3)

   {
     "coefficients": [
       {
         "ci_high": 0.24389111973731287,
         "ci_low": 0.05535819663726277,
         "coef": 0.14962465818728782,
         "p": 0.0022014699336607964,
         "se": 0.04743468138103421,
         "t": 3.1543304146048756,
         "term": "Intercept"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 0.06767665573681866,
         "ci_low": 0.014106570603448755,
         "coef": 0.040891613170133706,
         "p": 0.003173059665483026,
         "se": 0.013478176002754626,
         "t": 3.033912983609682,
         "term": "num_sib"
       },
       {
         "ci_high": 0.33834478741789964,
         "ci_low": 0.002785737294003998,
         "coef": 0.17056526235595182,
         "p": 0.046394543048745664,
         "se": 0.0844262973565769,
         "t": 2.0202859499518793,
         "term": "share_sis"
       }
     ],
     "first_stage": [
       {
         "ci_high": 0.5495632126089723,
         "ci_low": 0.4256170850121285,
         "coef": 0.4875901488105504,
         "endog": "share_sis",
         "instrument": "closest",
         "p": 3.922943631779382e-27,
         "se": 0.031184712857017884,
         "t": 15.635550375151904
       }
     ],
     "reduced_form": [
       {
         "ci_high": 0.16449590565453123,
         "ci_low": 0.0018359776535670502,
         "coef": 0.08316594165404914,
         "instrument": "closest",
         "p": 0.04515354568951129,
         "se": 0.0409250635449658,
         "t": 2.0321518025908945
       }
     ]
   }

   Digests dos dados

   ref_iv eda0b6ee80a16e398634e1d105e9091b8f191b3963cd3ded1cd42bf049000a33

   sha256 do resultado

   dc6671e2ba6e1b2d113fa989c5c634fab06d96ebad8704cc80a66db4f954d1a1

   Resultado mostrado ao modelo
7. 6Turno do modelo
   call_00ae2e24referenceFim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache

   Chamadas pedidas

   • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)

     {
       "answer": "Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.share_sis = 0,1706. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.",
       "caveats": [],
       "figure_refs": [
         "call_a0108874:coef.share_sis"
       ]
     }

   Mensagens (formato neutro)Instruções do sistemaFerramentas oferecidas
8. 7Guarda
   resposta aceita

   Números encontrados

   0,1706

   Sem lastro

   —

   Não citados

   —

   1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
9. 8Resposta

   Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.share_sis = 0,1706. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.

   Figuras citadas: call_a0108874:coef.share_sis · Parada: answered

   Figura da resposta: call_a0108874:coef.share_sis = 0,1705650.17056526235595182 (se 0,08442630.0844262973565769)
10. 9Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
11. 10Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória0.1705652624 in [0.006614934216, 0.3345155905]?
12. 11Pontuação
    #2figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada0.1705652624 vs 0.17056526235595149
13. 12Pontuação
    #3figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada0.08442629736 vs 0.08364812660215439

Épocas × verificações

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

• época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)

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