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Tarefa causcibench_real.q054

causcibench_realagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T171122Z-suite-causcibench_real-baseline-4f971b

Veredito

falhouDecidida pela verificação 1: figura da resposta próxima, nenhuma estimativa citada.
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call

Pergunta feita ao analista

Does gaining legal access to alcohol at the U.S. minimum legal drinking age cause an increase in nonfatal morbidity?

Resposta

Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.

Valores esperados e de onde vêm

causcibench_real.gold.q054

Fonte
CauSciBench real split, data/metadata_json/real_input.json at d9bb43a, id 54
Tipo
benchmark_gold
Localização
real_input.json, record id 54: fields effect and std_error
Trecho
id 54 effect 71.294 std_error 17.57
Valor como publicado
71.294
Erro-padrão como publicado
17.57
Valor
71,29471.294 (se 17,5717.57)
Conferido por
arquivo do benchmark · Written by scripts/freeze_causcibench_real.py from the pinned file; equal to the `answer` and `std_error` of the same id in data/metadata_csv/real_input.csv at the pin.
sha256 da cópia lida
c1f4c8930675afff63d816d8ed066941ae92697e7bfc31e9d38519398dd80438 (identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)
Endereço
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/causalNLP/CauSciBench/d9bb43a2d90f261978cc5ac0b628c0484f6e8956/data/metadata_json/real_input.json
Licença
CauSciBench repository (MIT for code; metadata as published in the repository)
  • #1 figura da resposta próxima: 71,29471.294 · relativa 0.05

Verificações

Cada verificação, o que esperava, o que observou e a chamada que leu
#VerificaçãoObrigatóriaResultadoEsperadoObservadoTolerânciaFonteChamada
0resposta com lastro
every number backed
obrigatóriapassou—[]———
1figura da resposta próxima
no answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call
obrigatóriafalhou71,29471.294—relativa 0.05causcibench_real.gold.q054—

Caminho de referência e caminho do agente

A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.

caminho de referência do item · metadata_rule

Referência: infer.olsO agente não fez uma chamada de estimação que a resposta cite.

Pendências do caminho de referência: needs_spec:bandwidth

Trajetória

Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.

  1. 0Início

    Does gaining legal access to alcohol at the U.S. minimum legal drinking age cause an increase in nonfatal morbidity?

    carpenter_the_minimum_legal (agent)

    This dataset aggregates near-census administrative records of emergency department visits and inpatient hospital admissions for U.S. young adults into age-in-months bins around the 21st birthday, with outcomes expressed as rates per 10,000 person-years by cause, gender, pregnancy exclusion, and contributing state tags where available. Age-running variables index months relative to 21, along with pre/post age polynomials and an indicator for the 21st-birthday month to accommodate birthday-month spikes documented in alcohol intoxication visits. Variables: months_21: Integer months relative to the 21st birthday (e.g., -24 to +24), indexing the running age variable used to organize age-specific rates age: Age reported in years corresponding to the same age-month cell, provided for convenience alongside months_21 bmonth: Indicator equal to 1 for the month containing the 21st birthday (the ""birthday month"" control used to accommodate celebration spikes), 0 otherwise post: Indicator equal to 1 for observations at or above age 21 in months (post-threshold), 0 otherwise linear, linear_post: Linear age terms for pre- and post-threshold segments, capturing smooth age trends on either side of age 21 within the specified bandwidth age_months: Age in months as a non-centered index (e.g., from 228 to 276), facilitating alternative specifications and diagnostics age_c, age_c_sq: Age in months centered at 21 (0 at 21) and its square for flexible smooth trends over: Synonym for post (equals 1 at and after 21), supplied for alternate coding conventions in estimation age_c_post, age_c_post_sq: Interactions of centered age and its square with the post indicator to allow different slopes/curvature after 21 dummy21: Binary flag for the 21st-birthday month, identical in purpose to bmonth for absorbing discrete celebration effects in that month visit_all_r: All non-pregnancy-screened ED visits per 10,000 person-years in the age-month cell alcohol_any_all_r: ED visits with primary alcohol intoxication coding per 10,000 injury_all_r: ED visits for any injury cause per 10,000 inj_by_self_all_r / inj_by_oth_all_r / inj_accident_all_r: ED visits per 10,000 for self-inflicted injuries, injuries inflicted by others, and accidental injuries, respectively illness_all_r: ED visits per 10,000 for residual illness (non-alcohol, non-injury) injury_or_alc_all_r: Composite of injury or alcohol intoxication ED visits per 10,000; visit_all_np_r, alcohol_any_all_np_r, injury_all_np_r, inj_by_self_all_np_r, inj_by_oth_all_np_r, inj_accident_all_np_r, illness_all_np_r, injury_or_alc_all_np_r: Same definitions as ""all_r"" but excluding pregnancy-related encounters, aligning with the study's analytic sample visit_m_r, alcohol_any_m_r, injury_m_r, inj_by_self_m_r, inj_by_oth_m_r, inj_accident_m_r, illness_m_r, injury_or_alc_m_r: Male-only ED rates per 10,000 by cause visit_f_r, alcohol_any_f_r, injury_f_r, inj_by_self_f_r, inj_by_oth_f_r, inj_accident_f_r, illness_f_r, injury_or_alc_f_r: Female-only ED rates per 10,000 by cause visit_f_np_r, alcohol_any_f_np_r, injury_f_np_r, inj_by_self_f_np_r, inj_by_oth_f_np_r, inj_accident_f_np_r, illness_f_np_r, injury_or_alc_f_np_r: Female-only non-pregnancy ED rates per 10,000 by cause visit_az_np_r, alcohol_any_az_np_r, injury_az_np_r, inj_by_self_az_np_r, inj_by_oth_az_np_r, inj_accident_az_np_r, illness_az_np_r, injury_or_alc_az_np_r: Arizona-specific ED rates per 10,000 (non-pregnancy), by cause visit_ca_np_r, alcohol_any_ca_np_r, injury_ca_np_r, inj_by_self_ca_np_r, inj_by_oth_ca_np_r, inj_accident_ca_np_r, illness_ca_np_r, injury_or_alc_ca_np_r: State-tagged ED rates provided where available in replication files, analogous definitions as above visit_ia_np_r, alcohol_any_ia_np_r, injury_ia_np_r, inj_by_self_ia_np_r, inj_by_oth_ia_np_r, inj_accident_ia_np_r, illness_ia_np_r, injury_or_alc_ia_np_r: State-tagged ED rates provided where available in replication files, analogous definitions as above visit_nj_np_r, alcohol_any_nj_np_r, injury_nj_np_r, inj_by_self_nj_np_r, inj_by_oth_nj_np_r, inj_accident_nj_np_r, illness_nj_np_r, injury_or_alc_nj_np_r: New Jersey-specific ED rates per 10,000 (non-pregnancy), by cause visit_wi_np_r, alcohol_any_wi_np_r, injury_wi_np_r, inj_by_self_wi_np_r, inj_by_oth_wi_np_r, inj_accident_wi_np_r, illness_wi_np_r, injury_or_alc_wi_np_r: Wisconsin-specific ED rates per 10,000 (non-pregnancy), by cause

    file e49a7ad686067a4e4e119b7ab85a0dc1a8e562b1b5fc83d3f4e1d9b4b626d6e4 · frame —
  2. 1Turno do modelo
    call_f16d6d7frules-1Fim: tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cache
    Chamadas pedidas
    • submit_answer (meta-ferramenta)
      {
        "answer": "Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.",
        "caveats": [],
        "figure_refs": []
      }
  3. 2Guarda
    resposta aceita
    Números encontrados
    —
    Sem lastro
    —
    Não citados
    —
    1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s)
  4. 3Resposta

    Pelas regras deste roteador não identifiquei um desenho que responda à pergunta; nenhuma estimativa foi feita.

    Figuras citadas: — · Parada: answered
  5. 4Pontuação
    #0resposta com lastropassouobrigatóriaevery number backed
  6. 5Pontuação
    #1figura da resposta próximafalhouobrigatóriano answer figure: the answer cites no effect of an estimator call

Épocas × verificações

Resultado de cada verificação em cada época pontuada
#01
Época 1passoufalhou

Tentativas

Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.

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