Tarefa crb_papers.q074
crb_papersagentT2publicépoca 1, tentativa 1Execução: 20261015T170925Z-suite-crb_papers-scripted-2dbcf5Veredito
Família do método (das chamadas de ferramentas): iv (two-stage least squares)
Pergunta feita ao analista
What is the causal effect of municipal civil service reform adoption on the share of blue-collar municipal government jobs held by native-born white workers, estimated for municipalities whose adoption was externally induced (local compliers)?
Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.treat_actual = -0,1689. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.
Valores esperados e de onde vêm
crb_papers.q074.gold
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark, causal_queries.json, index 74 (revision edd0fe1c1d1c)
- Tipo
- benchmark_gold
- Localização
- causal_queries.json['74'].effect and .standard_error
- Trecho
index 74: effect -0.168896, standard_error 0.098381
- Valor como publicado
-0.16889570857702552- Erro-padrão como publicado
0.09838104012319736- Valor
- -0,168896
-0.16889570857702552(se 0,0983810.09838104012319736) - Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · Read from the catalog at the pinned revision by scripts/freeze_crb_papers.py; the catalog states the value its estimation script prints.
- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/causal_queries.json- Licença
- MIT
- #2 figura da resposta próxima: -0,168896
-0.16889570857702552· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 9.838104012319735e-8 - #3 figura da resposta próxima: 0,098381
0.09838104012319736· relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 9.838104012319735e-8
crb_papers.q074.script
- Fonte
- CausalReasoningBenchmark reference estimation script for index 74
- Tipo
- software
- Localização
- solutions/research_papers/IV/Kuipers2022/question/estimation.py
- Valor
- —
- Conferido por
- arquivo do benchmark · sha256 of the script's 591 bytes at the pinned revision; the reference path of the item is a transcription of this script into typed transforms and tool calls (never executed here).
- Implementação
- independente da ferramenta
- sha256 da cópia lida
21c133a31b59ed07fbd06a9a87e7c4efe65cc45c4938fe5b8c85abd5f5dc76e3(identifica a cópia lida, não um arquivo canônico)- Endereço
https://huggingface.co/datasets/syrgkanislab/CausalReasoningBenchmark/resolve/edd0fe1c1d1c5c0a4f0e3e67a50481ac679fb888/solutions/research_papers/IV/Kuipers2022/question/estimation.py- Licença
- MIT
Verificações
| # | Verificação | Obrigatória | Resultado | Esperado | Observado | Tolerância | Fonte | Chamada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | resposta com lastro every number backed | obrigatória | passou | — | [] | — | — | — |
| 1 | figura da resposta próxima -0.1688957086 in [-0.3617225472, 0.02393113006]? | obrigatória | passou | [-0.36172254721849234,0.02393113006444131] | -0,168896-0.16889570857684477 | interval · [-0.36172254721849234, 0.02393113006444131] | — | call_097900d4 |
| 2 | figura da resposta próxima -0.1688957086 vs -0.16889570857702552 | registrada | passou | -0,168896-0.16889570857702552 | -0,168896-0.16889570857684477 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 9.838104012319735e-8 | crb_papers.q074.gold | call_097900d4 |
| 3 | figura da resposta próxima 0.1098631 vs 0.09838104012319736 | registrada | falhou | 0,0983810.09838104012319736 | 0,1098630.10986309995036375 | relativa 0.000001 · absoluta 9.838104012319735e-8 | crb_papers.q074.gold | call_097900d4 |
Caminho de referência e caminho do agente
A chamada de referência ao lado da chamada que deu a resposta, argumento por argumento.
caminho de referência do item · benchmark_script
| Argumento | Referência | Agente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| cluster | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| dataset | "ref_iv" | "ref_iv" | igual |
| endog | ["treat_actual"] | ["treat_actual"] | igual |
| exog | ["pop","YEAR_1860.0","YEAR_1870.0","YEAR_1880.0","YEAR_1900.0","YEAR_1910.0","YEAR_1920.0","YEAR_1930.0","YEAR_1940.0","city_albany, ny","city_alexandria, la","city_allentown, pa","city_alliance, oh","city_altoona, pa","city_ames, ia","city_amsterdam, ny","city_anniston, al","city_appleton, wi","city_arnold, pa","city_ashland, oh","city_ashland, wi","city_ashtabula, oh","city_atlantic city, nj","city_attleboro, ma","city_auburn, ny","city_augusta, ga","city_barberton, oh","city_batavia, ny","city_baton rouge, la","city_beacon, ny","city_beaver falls, pa","city_bellaire, oh","city_beloit, wi","city_benton harbor, mi","city_bethlehem, pa","city_beverly, ma","city_binghamton, ny","city_boise, id","city_boone, ia","city_boston, ma","city_bradford, pa","city_brainerd, mn","city_brockton, ma","city_bucyrus, oh","city_buffalo, ny","city_burlington, ia","city_butler, pa","city_cambridge, ma","city_cambridge, oh","city_camden, nj","city_campbell, oh","city_canton, oh","city_carbondale, pa","city_casper, wy","city_cedar rapids, ia","city_chelsea, ma","city_chester, pa","city_cheyenne, wy","city_chicopee, ma","city_chillicothe, oh","city_cincinnati, oh","city_cleveland heights, oh","city_cleveland, oh","city_clifton, nj","city_clinton, ia","city_coatesville, pa","city_coffeyville, ks","city_cohoes, ny","city_columbia, sc","city_columbus, oh","city_connellsville, pa","city_corning, ny","city_corpus christi, tx","city_cortland, ny","city_coshocton, oh","city_council bluffs, ia","city_cudahy, wi","city_cuyahoga falls, oh","city_dallas, tx","city_davenport, ia","city_dayton, oh","city_dearborn, mi","city_denver, co","city_des moines, ia","city_dover, nj","city_du bois, pa","city_dubuque, ia","city_dunkirk, ny","city_duquesne, pa","city_east cleveland, oh","city_east liverpool, oh","city_east orange, nj","city_easton, pa","city_eau claire, wi","city_el paso, tx","city_elizabeth, nj","city_elmira, ny","city_elyria, oh","city_endicott, ny","city_erie, pa","city_euclid, oh","city_eugene, or","city_everett, ma","city_fall river, ma","city_farrell, pa","city_findlay, oh","city_fitchburg, ma","city_floral park, ny","city_fond du lac, wi","city_fort dodge, ia","city_fort madison, ia","city_fort smith, ar","city_fostoria, oh","city_franklin, pa","city_freeport, ny","city_fremont, oh","city_fulton, ny","city_gadsden, al","city_gardner, ma","city_garfield heights, oh","city_gary, in","city_geneva, ny","city_glen cove, ny","city_glens falls, ny","city_gloucester, ma","city_gloversville, ny","city_greeley, co","city_green bay, wi","city_greensburg, pa","city_greenville, sc","city_hamilton, oh","city_harrisburg, pa","city_hastings, ne","city_haverhill, ma","city_hazleton, pa","city_hempstead, ny","city_hibbing, mn","city_holyoke, ma","city_hornell, ny","city_houston, tx","city_hudson, ny","city_hutchinson, ks","city_ilion, ny","city_indianapolis, in","city_iowa city, ia","city_ironton, oh","city_irvington, nj","city_ithaca, ny","city_jackson, mi","city_janesville, wi","city_jeannette, pa","city_jersey city, nj","city_johnson city, ny","city_johnstown, ny","city_johnstown, pa","city_kansas city, ks","city_kearny, nj","city_kenmore, ny","city_kenosha, wi","city_keokuk, ia","city_kingston, ny","city_klamath falls, or","city_la crosse, wi","city_lackawanna, ny","city_lafayette, la","city_lake charles, la","city_lakewood, oh","city_lancaster, oh","city_lancaster, pa","city_lawrence, ma","city_lebanon, pa","city_leominster, ma","city_lima, oh","city_little falls, ny","city_little rock, ar","city_lockport, ny","city_lorain, oh","city_lowell, ma","city_lynbrook, ny","city_lynn, ma","city_madison, wi","city_malden, ma","city_mamaroneck, ny","city_manitowoc, wi","city_mankato, mn","city_mansfield, oh","city_marietta, oh","city_marinette, wi","city_marion, oh","city_marlborough, ma","city_marshalltown, ia","city_martins ferry, oh","city_mason city, ia","city_massillon, oh","city_mckeesport, pa","city_meadville, pa","city_medford, ma","city_melrose, ma","city_middletown, ny","city_middletown, oh","city_milwaukee, wi","city_monroe, la","city_morristown, nj","city_muscatine, ia","city_nanticoke, pa","city_new bedford, ma","city_new castle, pa","city_new philadelphia, oh","city_new rochelle, ny","city_new york, ny","city_newark, nj","city_newark, oh","city_newburgh, ny","city_newburyport, ma","city_newton, ia","city_newton, ma","city_niagara falls, ny","city_niles, oh","city_north adams, ma","city_north little rock, ar","city_north tonawanda, ny","city_northampton, ma","city_norwood, oh","city_nutley, nj","city_ogdensburg, ny","city_oil city, pa","city_olean, ny","city_omaha, ne","city_oneida, ny","city_oneonta, ny","city_orange, nj","city_orlando, fl","city_oshkosh, wi","city_oskaloosa, ia","city_ossining, ny","city_oswego, ny","city_ottumwa, ia","city_painesville, oh","city_parma, oh","city_parsons, ks","city_paterson, nj","city_peabody, ma","city_peekskill, ny","city_philadelphia, pa","city_pine bluff, ar","city_piqua, oh","city_pittsburgh, pa","city_pittsfield, ma","city_pittston, pa","city_plattsburg, ny","city_pocatello, id","city_port chester, ny","city_port huron, mi","city_port jervis, ny","city_portland, or","city_portsmouth, oh","city_pottsville, pa","city_poughkeepsie, ny","city_quincy, ma","city_racine, wi","city_rahway, nj","city_reading, pa","city_revere, ma","city_rochester, mn","city_rochester, ny","city_rome, ny","city_rutherford, nj","city_salem, ma","city_salem, oh","city_salem, or","city_salt lake city, ut","city_san antonio, tx","city_sandusky, oh","city_saratoga springs, ny","city_scranton, pa","city_shaker heights, oh","city_sharon, pa","city_sheboygan, wi","city_shorewood, wi","city_shreveport, la","city_sioux city, ia","city_somerville, ma","city_south milwaukee, wi","city_south orange, nj","city_spartanburg, sc","city_springfield, ma","city_springfield, oh","city_st. augustine, fl","city_st. cloud, mn","city_steubenville, oh","city_stevens point, wi","city_struthers, oh","city_sunbury, pa","city_superior, wi","city_syracuse, ny","city_taunton, ma","city_teaneck, nj","city_tiffin, oh","city_toledo, oh","city_tonawanda, ny","city_topeka, ks","city_trenton, nj","city_troy, ny","city_tuscaloosa, al","city_two rivers, wi","city_union, nj","city_uniontown, pa","city_utica, ny","city_waco, tx","city_waltham, ma","city_warren, oh","city_washington, pa","city_waterloo, ia","city_watertown, ny","city_watertown, wi","city_watervliet, ny","city_waukesha, wi","city_wausau, wi","city_wauwatosa, wi","city_west allis, wi","city_west orange, nj","city_westfield, ma","city_white plains, ny","city_williamsport, pa","city_woburn, ma","city_wooster, oh","city_worcester, ma","city_xenia, oh","city_yonkers, ny","city_york, pa","city_youngstown, oh","city_zanesville, oh"] | ["pop","YEAR_1860.0","YEAR_1870.0","YEAR_1880.0","YEAR_1900.0","YEAR_1910.0","YEAR_1920.0","YEAR_1930.0","YEAR_1940.0","city_albany, ny","city_alexandria, la","city_allentown, pa","city_alliance, oh","city_altoona, pa","city_ames, ia","city_amsterdam, ny","city_anniston, al","city_appleton, wi","city_arnold, pa","city_ashland, oh","city_ashland, wi","city_ashtabula, oh","city_atlantic city, nj","city_attleboro, ma","city_auburn, ny","city_augusta, ga","city_barberton, oh","city_batavia, ny","city_baton rouge, la","city_beacon, ny","city_beaver falls, pa","city_bellaire, oh","city_beloit, wi","city_benton harbor, mi","city_bethlehem, pa","city_beverly, ma","city_binghamton, ny","city_boise, id","city_boone, ia","city_boston, ma","city_bradford, pa","city_brainerd, mn","city_brockton, ma","city_bucyrus, oh","city_buffalo, ny","city_burlington, ia","city_butler, pa","city_cambridge, ma","city_cambridge, oh","city_camden, nj","city_campbell, oh","city_canton, oh","city_carbondale, pa","city_casper, wy","city_cedar rapids, ia","city_chelsea, ma","city_chester, pa","city_cheyenne, wy","city_chicopee, ma","city_chillicothe, oh","city_cincinnati, oh","city_cleveland heights, oh","city_cleveland, oh","city_clifton, nj","city_clinton, ia","city_coatesville, pa","city_coffeyville, ks","city_cohoes, ny","city_columbia, sc","city_columbus, oh","city_connellsville, pa","city_corning, ny","city_corpus christi, tx","city_cortland, ny","city_coshocton, oh","city_council bluffs, ia","city_cudahy, wi","city_cuyahoga falls, oh","city_dallas, tx","city_davenport, ia","city_dayton, oh","city_dearborn, mi","city_denver, co","city_des moines, ia","city_dover, nj","city_du bois, pa","city_dubuque, ia","city_dunkirk, ny","city_duquesne, pa","city_east cleveland, oh","city_east liverpool, oh","city_east orange, nj","city_easton, pa","city_eau claire, wi","city_el paso, tx","city_elizabeth, nj","city_elmira, ny","city_elyria, oh","city_endicott, ny","city_erie, pa","city_euclid, oh","city_eugene, or","city_everett, ma","city_fall river, ma","city_farrell, pa","city_findlay, oh","city_fitchburg, ma","city_floral park, ny","city_fond du lac, wi","city_fort dodge, ia","city_fort madison, ia","city_fort smith, ar","city_fostoria, oh","city_franklin, pa","city_freeport, ny","city_fremont, oh","city_fulton, ny","city_gadsden, al","city_gardner, ma","city_garfield heights, oh","city_gary, in","city_geneva, ny","city_glen cove, ny","city_glens falls, ny","city_gloucester, ma","city_gloversville, ny","city_greeley, co","city_green bay, wi","city_greensburg, pa","city_greenville, sc","city_hamilton, oh","city_harrisburg, pa","city_hastings, ne","city_haverhill, ma","city_hazleton, pa","city_hempstead, ny","city_hibbing, mn","city_holyoke, ma","city_hornell, ny","city_houston, tx","city_hudson, ny","city_hutchinson, ks","city_ilion, ny","city_indianapolis, in","city_iowa city, ia","city_ironton, oh","city_irvington, nj","city_ithaca, ny","city_jackson, mi","city_janesville, wi","city_jeannette, pa","city_jersey city, nj","city_johnson city, ny","city_johnstown, ny","city_johnstown, pa","city_kansas city, ks","city_kearny, nj","city_kenmore, ny","city_kenosha, wi","city_keokuk, ia","city_kingston, ny","city_klamath falls, or","city_la crosse, wi","city_lackawanna, ny","city_lafayette, la","city_lake charles, la","city_lakewood, oh","city_lancaster, oh","city_lancaster, pa","city_lawrence, ma","city_lebanon, pa","city_leominster, ma","city_lima, oh","city_little falls, ny","city_little rock, ar","city_lockport, ny","city_lorain, oh","city_lowell, ma","city_lynbrook, ny","city_lynn, ma","city_madison, wi","city_malden, ma","city_mamaroneck, ny","city_manitowoc, wi","city_mankato, mn","city_mansfield, oh","city_marietta, oh","city_marinette, wi","city_marion, oh","city_marlborough, ma","city_marshalltown, ia","city_martins ferry, oh","city_mason city, ia","city_massillon, oh","city_mckeesport, pa","city_meadville, pa","city_medford, ma","city_melrose, ma","city_middletown, ny","city_middletown, oh","city_milwaukee, wi","city_monroe, la","city_morristown, nj","city_muscatine, ia","city_nanticoke, pa","city_new bedford, ma","city_new castle, pa","city_new philadelphia, oh","city_new rochelle, ny","city_new york, ny","city_newark, nj","city_newark, oh","city_newburgh, ny","city_newburyport, ma","city_newton, ia","city_newton, ma","city_niagara falls, ny","city_niles, oh","city_north adams, ma","city_north little rock, ar","city_north tonawanda, ny","city_northampton, ma","city_norwood, oh","city_nutley, nj","city_ogdensburg, ny","city_oil city, pa","city_olean, ny","city_omaha, ne","city_oneida, ny","city_oneonta, ny","city_orange, nj","city_orlando, fl","city_oshkosh, wi","city_oskaloosa, ia","city_ossining, ny","city_oswego, ny","city_ottumwa, ia","city_painesville, oh","city_parma, oh","city_parsons, ks","city_paterson, nj","city_peabody, ma","city_peekskill, ny","city_philadelphia, pa","city_pine bluff, ar","city_piqua, oh","city_pittsburgh, pa","city_pittsfield, ma","city_pittston, pa","city_plattsburg, ny","city_pocatello, id","city_port chester, ny","city_port huron, mi","city_port jervis, ny","city_portland, or","city_portsmouth, oh","city_pottsville, pa","city_poughkeepsie, ny","city_quincy, ma","city_racine, wi","city_rahway, nj","city_reading, pa","city_revere, ma","city_rochester, mn","city_rochester, ny","city_rome, ny","city_rutherford, nj","city_salem, ma","city_salem, oh","city_salem, or","city_salt lake city, ut","city_san antonio, tx","city_sandusky, oh","city_saratoga springs, ny","city_scranton, pa","city_shaker heights, oh","city_sharon, pa","city_sheboygan, wi","city_shorewood, wi","city_shreveport, la","city_sioux city, ia","city_somerville, ma","city_south milwaukee, wi","city_south orange, nj","city_spartanburg, sc","city_springfield, ma","city_springfield, oh","city_st. augustine, fl","city_st. cloud, mn","city_steubenville, oh","city_stevens point, wi","city_struthers, oh","city_sunbury, pa","city_superior, wi","city_syracuse, ny","city_taunton, ma","city_teaneck, nj","city_tiffin, oh","city_toledo, oh","city_tonawanda, ny","city_topeka, ks","city_trenton, nj","city_troy, ny","city_tuscaloosa, al","city_two rivers, wi","city_union, nj","city_uniontown, pa","city_utica, ny","city_waco, tx","city_waltham, ma","city_warren, oh","city_washington, pa","city_waterloo, ia","city_watertown, ny","city_watertown, wi","city_watervliet, ny","city_waukesha, wi","city_wausau, wi","city_wauwatosa, wi","city_west allis, wi","city_west orange, nj","city_westfield, ma","city_white plains, ny","city_williamsport, pa","city_woburn, ma","city_wooster, oh","city_worcester, ma","city_xenia, oh","city_yonkers, ny","city_york, pa","city_youngstown, oh","city_zanesville, oh"] | igual |
| instruments | ["treat_assign"] | ["treat_assign"] | igual |
| level | — | 0,950.95 | não fixado pela referência |
| se | "HC1" | "HC1" | igual |
| subset | — | — | não fixado pela referência |
| y | "govt" | "govt" | igual |
Pendências do caminho de referência: needs_op:iv_se_hc0
Trajetória
Cada evento na ordem em que aconteceu: turnos do modelo, chamadas de ferramentas, guardas, transformações e pontuação.
- 0Início
What is the causal effect of municipal civil service reform adoption on the share of blue-collar municipal government jobs held by native-born white workers, estimated for municipalities whose adoption was externally induced (local compliers)?
ds_0044(agent)| Variable Name | Description | |----------------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | Unnamed/Index | Row identifier / index column carried over from the source CSV (sequence number). | | city | Municipality name and state (lowercase string, e.g., "akron, oh"). | | YEAR | Census year (decennial year) for the observation (numeric). | | occ | Occupation class for municipal employment (e.g., "blue_collar", "white_collar", "police"). | | name | Demographic group label combining race and nativity (e.g., "white_x_native_born"). | | govt | Proportion (share) of municipal government jobs in this city–year–occupation held by group. | | pop | Proportion (share) of the municipality's total population comprised by the named group. | | treat_assign | Binary indicator whether a statewide legislative mandate applied to the municipality that decade (0/1). | | treat_actual | Binary indicator whether the municipality had the municipal civil service commission in effect that decade (0/1). | | bandwidth | Numeric distance in residents between the municipality's population and the state cutoff used in assignment rules. | Data Description: This dataset is a municipality-by-decade panel that links full-count U.S. decennial census records (1850–1940) on municipal employment and population composition with administrative indicators derived from state statutes and municipal surveys. Each observation identifies a city and census year, an occupation class, and a demographic group, and reports group shares in the municipal population and in the local government workforce; the file also includes binary flags recording whether a state-level mandate applied and whether a municipal civil service commission was in place, plus a numeric distance-from-cutoff measure used for threshold-based comparisons. The underlying sources include full-count census enumerations (industry/occupation and birthplace fields), historical surveys of municipal civil service adoption, and compiled state session-law information assembled to create a harmonized longitudinal dataset on municipal staff composition.
filed5035ee26421d944dd396fa22c1f412e72a32f59388ef130ad486a3c851a813b· frame —ref_iv(reference)filed5035ee26421d944dd396fa22c1f412e72a32f59388ef130ad486a3c851a813b· frame —filter{"query":"occ == 'blue_collar' and name == 'white_x_native_born'"}select{"columns":["govt","treat_actual","treat_assign","pop","YEAR","city"]}dropna{"columns":["govt","treat_actual","treat_assign","pop","YEAR","city"]}dummies{"column":"YEAR","drop_first":true,"prefix":"YEAR"}dummies{"column":"city","drop_first":true,"prefix":"city"}
- 1Transformação
ref_iv·filter{"query":"occ == 'blue_collar' and name == 'white_x_native_born'"}40452 → 1686 linhasFrame antes → depois:70ec9feb2c79→9c9371e96a41 - 2Transformação
ref_iv·select{"columns":["govt","treat_actual","treat_assign","pop","YEAR","city"]}1686 → 1686 linhasFrame antes → depois:9c9371e96a41→1166c0af001f - 3Transformação
ref_iv·dropna{"columns":["govt","treat_actual","treat_assign","pop","YEAR","city"]}1686 → 1686 linhasFrame antes → depois:1166c0af001f→1166c0af001f - 4Transformação
ref_iv·dummies{"column":"YEAR","drop_first":true,"prefix":"YEAR"}1686 → 1686 linhasFrame antes → depois:1166c0af001f→aaa7279efd2f - 5Transformação
ref_iv·dummies{"column":"city","drop_first":true,"prefix":"city"}1686 → 1686 linhasFrame antes → depois:aaa7279efd2f→7d61c3ca2820 - 6Turno do modelo
call_7c954246referenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheTexto visívelIV2SLS.from_formula('govt ~ 1 + pop + C(YEAR) + C(city) + [treat_actual ~ treat_assign]').fit(cov_type='robust')
Chamadas pedidasinfer.iv_2sls{ "dataset": "ref_iv", "endog": [ "treat_actual" ], "exog": [ "pop", "YEAR_1860.0", "YEAR_1870.0", "YEAR_1880.0", "YEAR_1900.0", "YEAR_1910.0", "YEAR_1920.0", "YEAR_1930.0", "YEAR_1940.0", "city_albany, ny", "city_alexandria, la", "city_allentown, pa", "city_alliance, oh", "city_altoona, pa", "city_ames, ia", "city_amsterdam, ny", "city_anniston, al", "city_appleton, wi", "city_arnold, pa", "city_ashland, oh", "city_ashland, wi", "city_ashtabula, oh", "city_atlantic city, nj", "city_attleboro, ma", "city_auburn, ny", "city_augusta, ga", "city_barberton, oh", "city_batavia, ny", "city_baton rouge, la", "city_beacon, ny", "city_beaver falls, pa", "city_bellaire, oh", "city_beloit, wi", "city_benton harbor, mi", "city_bethlehem, pa", "city_beverly, ma", "city_binghamton, ny", "city_boise, id", "city_boone, ia", "city_boston, ma", "city_bradford, pa", "city_brainerd, mn", "city_brockton, ma", "city_bucyrus, oh", "city_buffalo, ny", "city_burlington, ia", "city_butler, pa", "city_cambridge, ma", "city_cambridge, oh", "city_camden, nj", "city_campbell, oh", "city_canton, oh", "city_carbondale, pa", "city_casper, wy", "city_cedar rapids, ia", "city_chelsea, ma", "city_chester, pa", "city_cheyenne, wy", "city_chicopee, ma", "city_chillicothe, oh", "city_cincinnati, oh", "city_cleveland heights, oh", "city_cleveland, oh", "city_clifton, nj", "city_clinton, ia", "city_coatesville, pa", "city_coffeyville, ks", "city_cohoes, ny", "city_columbia, sc", "city_columbus, oh", "city_connellsville, pa", "city_corning, ny", "city_corpus christi, tx", "city_cortland, ny", "city_coshocton, oh", "city_council bluffs, ia", "city_cudahy, wi", "city_cuyahoga falls, oh", "city_dallas, tx", "city_davenport, ia", "city_dayton, oh", "city_dearborn, mi", "city_denver, co", "city_des moines, ia", "city_dover, nj", "city_du bois, pa", "city_dubuque, ia", "city_dunkirk, ny", "city_duquesne, pa", "city_east cleveland, oh", "city_east liverpool, oh", "city_east orange, nj", "city_easton, pa", "city_eau claire, wi", "city_el paso, tx", "city_elizabeth, nj", "city_elmira, ny", "city_elyria, oh", "city_endicott, ny", "city_erie, pa", "city_euclid, oh", "city_eugene, or", "city_everett, ma", "city_fall river, ma", "city_farrell, pa", "city_findlay, oh", "city_fitchburg, ma", "city_floral park, ny", "city_fond du lac, wi", "city_fort dodge, ia", "city_fort madison, ia", "city_fort smith, ar", "city_fostoria, oh", "city_franklin, pa", "city_freeport, ny", "city_fremont, oh", "city_fulton, ny", "city_gadsden, al", "city_gardner, ma", "city_garfield heights, oh", "city_gary, in", "city_geneva, ny", "city_glen cove, ny", "city_glens falls, ny", "city_gloucester, ma", "city_gloversville, ny", "city_greeley, co", "city_green bay, wi", "city_greensburg, pa", "city_greenville, sc", "city_hamilton, oh", "city_harrisburg, pa", "city_hastings, ne", "city_haverhill, ma", "city_hazleton, pa", "city_hempstead, ny", "city_hibbing, mn", "city_holyoke, ma", "city_hornell, ny", "city_houston, tx", "city_hudson, ny", "city_hutchinson, ks", "city_ilion, ny", "city_indianapolis, in", "city_iowa city, ia", "city_ironton, oh", "city_irvington, nj", "city_ithaca, ny", "city_jackson, mi", "city_janesville, wi", "city_jeannette, pa", "city_jersey city, nj", "city_johnson city, ny", "city_johnstown, ny", "city_johnstown, pa", "city_kansas city, ks", "city_kearny, nj", "city_kenmore, ny", "city_kenosha, wi", "city_keokuk, ia", "city_kingston, ny", "city_klamath falls, or", "city_la crosse, wi", "city_lackawanna, ny", "city_lafayette, la", "city_lake charles, la", "city_lakewood, oh", "city_lancaster, oh", "city_lancaster, pa", "city_lawrence, ma", "city_lebanon, pa", "city_leominster, ma", "city_lima, oh", "city_little falls, ny", "city_little rock, ar", "city_lockport, ny", "city_lorain, oh", "city_lowell, ma", "city_lynbrook, ny", "city_lynn, ma", "city_madison, wi", "city_malden, ma", "city_mamaroneck, ny", "city_manitowoc, wi", "city_mankato, mn", "city_mansfield, oh", "city_marietta, oh", "city_marinette, wi", "city_marion, oh", "city_marlborough, ma", "city_marshalltown, ia", "city_martins ferry, oh", "city_mason city, ia", "city_massillon, oh", "city_mckeesport, pa", "city_meadville, pa", "city_medford, ma", "city_melrose, ma", "city_middletown, ny", "city_middletown, oh", "city_milwaukee, wi", "city_monroe, la", "city_morristown, nj", "city_muscatine, ia", "city_nanticoke, pa", "city_new bedford, ma", "city_new castle, pa", "city_new philadelphia, oh", "city_new rochelle, ny", "city_new york, ny", "city_newark, nj", "city_newark, oh", "city_newburgh, ny", "city_newburyport, ma", "city_newton, ia", "city_newton, ma", "city_niagara falls, ny", "city_niles, oh", "city_north adams, ma", "city_north little rock, ar", "city_north tonawanda, ny", "city_northampton, ma", "city_norwood, oh", "city_nutley, nj", "city_ogdensburg, ny", "city_oil city, pa", "city_olean, ny", "city_omaha, ne", "city_oneida, ny", "city_oneonta, ny", "city_orange, nj", "city_orlando, fl", "city_oshkosh, wi", "city_oskaloosa, ia", "city_ossining, ny", "city_oswego, ny", "city_ottumwa, ia", "city_painesville, oh", "city_parma, oh", "city_parsons, ks", "city_paterson, nj", "city_peabody, ma", "city_peekskill, ny", "city_philadelphia, pa", "city_pine bluff, ar", "city_piqua, oh", "city_pittsburgh, pa", "city_pittsfield, ma", "city_pittston, pa", "city_plattsburg, ny", "city_pocatello, id", "city_port chester, ny", "city_port huron, mi", "city_port jervis, ny", "city_portland, or", "city_portsmouth, oh", "city_pottsville, pa", "city_poughkeepsie, ny", "city_quincy, ma", "city_racine, wi", "city_rahway, nj", "city_reading, pa", "city_revere, ma", "city_rochester, mn", "city_rochester, ny", "city_rome, ny", "city_rutherford, nj", "city_salem, ma", "city_salem, oh", "city_salem, or", "city_salt lake city, ut", "city_san antonio, tx", "city_sandusky, oh", "city_saratoga springs, ny", "city_scranton, pa", "city_shaker heights, oh", "city_sharon, pa", "city_sheboygan, wi", "city_shorewood, wi", "city_shreveport, la", "city_sioux city, ia", "city_somerville, ma", "city_south milwaukee, wi", "city_south orange, nj", "city_spartanburg, sc", "city_springfield, ma", "city_springfield, oh", "city_st. augustine, fl", "city_st. cloud, mn", "city_steubenville, oh", "city_stevens point, wi", "city_struthers, oh", "city_sunbury, pa", "city_superior, wi", "city_syracuse, ny", "city_taunton, ma", "city_teaneck, nj", "city_tiffin, oh", "city_toledo, oh", "city_tonawanda, ny", "city_topeka, ks", "city_trenton, nj", "city_troy, ny", "city_tuscaloosa, al", "city_two rivers, wi", "city_union, nj", "city_uniontown, pa", "city_utica, ny", "city_waco, tx", "city_waltham, ma", "city_warren, oh", "city_washington, pa", "city_waterloo, ia", "city_watertown, ny", "city_watertown, wi", "city_watervliet, ny", "city_waukesha, wi", "city_wausau, wi", "city_wauwatosa, wi", "city_west allis, wi", "city_west orange, nj", "city_westfield, ma", "city_white plains, ny", "city_williamsport, pa", "city_woburn, ma", "city_wooster, oh", "city_worcester, ma", "city_xenia, oh", "city_yonkers, ny", "city_york, pa", "city_youngstown, oh", "city_zanesville, oh" ], "instruments": [ "treat_assign" ], "se": "HC1", "y": "govt" }
- 7Ferramenta
infer.iv_2slsv0.1.0call_097900d4decidido pelo modeloreexecutávelMotivo: IV2SLS.from_formula('govt ~ 1 + pop + C(YEAR) + C(city) + [treat_actual ~ treat_assign]').fit(cov_type='robust')
Argumentos
{ "cluster": null, "dataset": "ref_iv", "endog": [ "treat_actual" ], "exog": [ "pop", "YEAR_1860.0", "YEAR_1870.0", "YEAR_1880.0", "YEAR_1900.0", "YEAR_1910.0", "YEAR_1920.0", "YEAR_1930.0", "YEAR_1940.0", "city_albany, ny", "city_alexandria, la", "city_allentown, pa", "city_alliance, oh", "city_altoona, pa", "city_ames, ia", "city_amsterdam, ny", "city_anniston, al", "city_appleton, wi", "city_arnold, pa", "city_ashland, oh", "city_ashland, wi", "city_ashtabula, oh", "city_atlantic city, nj", "city_attleboro, ma", "city_auburn, ny", "city_augusta, ga", "city_barberton, oh", "city_batavia, ny", "city_baton rouge, la", "city_beacon, ny", "city_beaver falls, pa", "city_bellaire, oh", "city_beloit, wi", "city_benton harbor, mi", "city_bethlehem, pa", "city_beverly, ma", "city_binghamton, ny", "city_boise, id", "city_boone, ia", "city_boston, ma", "city_bradford, pa", "city_brainerd, mn", "city_brockton, ma", "city_bucyrus, oh", "city_buffalo, ny", "city_burlington, ia", "city_butler, pa", "city_cambridge, ma", "city_cambridge, oh", "city_camden, nj", "city_campbell, oh", "city_canton, oh", "city_carbondale, pa", "city_casper, wy", "city_cedar rapids, ia", "city_chelsea, ma", "city_chester, pa", "city_cheyenne, wy", "city_chicopee, ma", "city_chillicothe, oh", "city_cincinnati, oh", "city_cleveland heights, oh", "city_cleveland, oh", "city_clifton, nj", "city_clinton, ia", "city_coatesville, pa", "city_coffeyville, ks", "city_cohoes, ny", "city_columbia, sc", "city_columbus, oh", "city_connellsville, pa", "city_corning, ny", "city_corpus christi, tx", "city_cortland, ny", "city_coshocton, oh", "city_council bluffs, ia", "city_cudahy, wi", "city_cuyahoga falls, oh", "city_dallas, tx", "city_davenport, ia", "city_dayton, oh", "city_dearborn, mi", "city_denver, co", "city_des moines, ia", "city_dover, nj", "city_du bois, pa", "city_dubuque, ia", "city_dunkirk, ny", "city_duquesne, pa", "city_east cleveland, oh", "city_east liverpool, oh", "city_east orange, nj", "city_easton, pa", "city_eau claire, wi", "city_el paso, tx", "city_elizabeth, nj", "city_elmira, ny", "city_elyria, oh", "city_endicott, ny", "city_erie, pa", "city_euclid, oh", "city_eugene, or", "city_everett, ma", "city_fall river, ma", "city_farrell, pa", "city_findlay, oh", "city_fitchburg, ma", "city_floral park, ny", "city_fond du lac, wi", "city_fort dodge, ia", "city_fort madison, ia", "city_fort smith, ar", "city_fostoria, oh", "city_franklin, pa", "city_freeport, ny", "city_fremont, oh", "city_fulton, ny", "city_gadsden, al", "city_gardner, ma", "city_garfield heights, oh", "city_gary, in", "city_geneva, ny", "city_glen cove, ny", "city_glens falls, ny", "city_gloucester, ma", "city_gloversville, ny", "city_greeley, co", "city_green bay, wi", "city_greensburg, pa", "city_greenville, sc", "city_hamilton, oh", "city_harrisburg, pa", "city_hastings, ne", "city_haverhill, ma", "city_hazleton, pa", "city_hempstead, ny", "city_hibbing, mn", "city_holyoke, ma", "city_hornell, ny", "city_houston, tx", "city_hudson, ny", "city_hutchinson, ks", "city_ilion, ny", "city_indianapolis, in", "city_iowa city, ia", "city_ironton, oh", "city_irvington, nj", "city_ithaca, ny", "city_jackson, mi", "city_janesville, wi", "city_jeannette, pa", "city_jersey city, nj", "city_johnson city, ny", "city_johnstown, ny", "city_johnstown, pa", "city_kansas city, ks", "city_kearny, nj", "city_kenmore, ny", "city_kenosha, wi", "city_keokuk, ia", "city_kingston, ny", "city_klamath falls, or", "city_la crosse, wi", "city_lackawanna, ny", "city_lafayette, la", "city_lake charles, la", "city_lakewood, oh", "city_lancaster, oh", "city_lancaster, pa", "city_lawrence, ma", "city_lebanon, pa", "city_leominster, ma", "city_lima, oh", "city_little falls, ny", "city_little rock, ar", "city_lockport, ny", "city_lorain, oh", "city_lowell, ma", "city_lynbrook, ny", "city_lynn, ma", "city_madison, wi", "city_malden, ma", "city_mamaroneck, ny", "city_manitowoc, wi", "city_mankato, mn", "city_mansfield, oh", "city_marietta, oh", "city_marinette, wi", "city_marion, oh", "city_marlborough, ma", "city_marshalltown, ia", "city_martins ferry, oh", "city_mason city, ia", "city_massillon, oh", "city_mckeesport, pa", "city_meadville, pa", "city_medford, ma", "city_melrose, ma", "city_middletown, ny", "city_middletown, oh", "city_milwaukee, wi", "city_monroe, la", "city_morristown, nj", "city_muscatine, ia", "city_nanticoke, pa", "city_new bedford, ma", "city_new castle, pa", "city_new philadelphia, oh", "city_new rochelle, ny", "city_new york, ny", "city_newark, nj", "city_newark, oh", "city_newburgh, ny", "city_newburyport, ma", "city_newton, ia", "city_newton, ma", "city_niagara falls, ny", "city_niles, oh", "city_north adams, ma", "city_north little rock, ar", "city_north tonawanda, ny", "city_northampton, ma", "city_norwood, oh", "city_nutley, nj", "city_ogdensburg, ny", "city_oil city, pa", "city_olean, ny", "city_omaha, ne", "city_oneida, ny", "city_oneonta, ny", "city_orange, nj", "city_orlando, fl", "city_oshkosh, wi", "city_oskaloosa, ia", "city_ossining, ny", "city_oswego, ny", "city_ottumwa, ia", "city_painesville, oh", "city_parma, oh", "city_parsons, ks", "city_paterson, nj", "city_peabody, ma", "city_peekskill, ny", "city_philadelphia, pa", "city_pine bluff, ar", "city_piqua, oh", "city_pittsburgh, pa", "city_pittsfield, ma", "city_pittston, pa", "city_plattsburg, ny", "city_pocatello, id", "city_port chester, ny", "city_port huron, mi", "city_port jervis, ny", "city_portland, or", "city_portsmouth, oh", "city_pottsville, pa", "city_poughkeepsie, ny", "city_quincy, ma", "city_racine, wi", "city_rahway, nj", "city_reading, pa", "city_revere, ma", "city_rochester, mn", "city_rochester, ny", "city_rome, ny", "city_rutherford, nj", "city_salem, ma", "city_salem, oh", "city_salem, or", "city_salt lake city, ut", "city_san antonio, tx", "city_sandusky, oh", "city_saratoga springs, ny", "city_scranton, pa", "city_shaker heights, oh", "city_sharon, pa", "city_sheboygan, wi", "city_shorewood, wi", "city_shreveport, la", "city_sioux city, ia", "city_somerville, ma", "city_south milwaukee, wi", "city_south orange, nj", "city_spartanburg, sc", "city_springfield, ma", "city_springfield, oh", "city_st. augustine, fl", "city_st. cloud, mn", "city_steubenville, oh", "city_stevens point, wi", "city_struthers, oh", "city_sunbury, pa", "city_superior, wi", "city_syracuse, ny", "city_taunton, ma", "city_teaneck, nj", "city_tiffin, oh", "city_toledo, oh", "city_tonawanda, ny", "city_topeka, ks", "city_trenton, nj", "city_troy, ny", "city_tuscaloosa, al", "city_two rivers, wi", "city_union, nj", "city_uniontown, pa", "city_utica, ny", "city_waco, tx", "city_waltham, ma", "city_warren, oh", "city_washington, pa", "city_waterloo, ia", "city_watertown, ny", "city_watertown, wi", "city_watervliet, ny", "city_waukesha, wi", "city_wausau, wi", "city_wauwatosa, wi", "city_west allis, wi", "city_west orange, nj", "city_westfield, ma", "city_white plains, ny", "city_williamsport, pa", "city_woburn, ma", "city_wooster, oh", "city_worcester, ma", "city_xenia, oh", "city_yonkers, ny", "city_york, pa", "city_youngstown, oh", "city_zanesville, oh" ], "instruments": [ "treat_assign" ], "level": 0.95, "se": "HC1", "subset": null, "y": "govt" }Figuras call_097900d4 Chave Valor Valor bruto Erro-padrão IC coef.treat_actual 2SLS effect of treat_actual on govt-0,168896 -0.168895708576844770,109863 0.10986309995036375-0,384416 – 0,046625 Diagnósticosfirst_stage_F.treat_actual= 27,56727.566954027523366partial_r2.treat_actual= 0,02341470.023414745621849642weak_instrument=falsen_obs= 1.6861686se_type="HC1"n_clusters= —
Tabelas (3)
{ "coefficients": [ { "ci_high": 0.570406589014986, "ci_low": 0.1686693271574903, "coef": 0.3695379580862381, "p": 0.0003186286384262648, "se": 0.1023941305122498, "t": 3.608975985611098, "term": "Intercept" }, { "ci_high": 1.0157433429863065, "ci_low": 0.5025700502468816, "coef": 0.759156696616594, "p": 8.052547110615557e-9, "se": 0.1307967622152031, "t": 5.804093952780995, "term": "pop" }, { "ci_high": 0.04241990695652239, "ci_low": -0.10629327433232902, "coef": -0.03193668368790332, "p": 0.3996164659017908, "se": 0.03790377029846927, "t": -0.8425727424058673, "term": "YEAR_1860.0" }, { "ci_high": -0.10649247064005567, "ci_low": -0.23734470096424432, "coef": -0.17191858580215, "p": 2.916639140681932e-7, "se": 0.03335140058376428, "t": -5.154763601917255, "term": "YEAR_1870.0" }, { "ci_high": -0.11652729032703599, "ci_low": -0.22361767483339737, "coef": -0.17007248258021668, "p": 6.182455353009049e-10, "se": 0.02729502052423765, "t": -6.230897772331564, "term": "YEAR_1880.0" }, { 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"se": 0.0592065418202145, "t": -1.7526146790153174, "term": "city_yonkers, ny" }, { "ci_high": 0.15467121454269728, "ci_low": -0.021038884389669207, "coef": 0.06681616507651403, "p": 0.13594769812916851, "se": 0.044784700127674666, "t": 1.491941776678885, "term": "city_york, pa" }, { "ci_high": -0.05865913043893156, "ci_low": -0.3294630004165899, "coef": -0.19406106542776072, "p": 0.005001061786663765, "se": 0.06902204360508289, "t": -2.8115809861861254, "term": "city_youngstown, oh" }, { "ci_high": 0.1479793961969207, "ci_low": -0.05984351625428217, "coef": 0.044067939971319255, "p": 0.4055850040673728, "se": 0.05296956105732786, "t": 0.8319483698123424, "term": "city_zanesville, oh" }, { "ci_high": 0.04662495033414296, "ci_low": -0.3844163674878325, "coef": -0.16889570857684477, "p": 0.12444679491507872, "se": 0.10986309995036375, "t": -1.5373288087915962, "term": "treat_actual" } ], "first_stage": [ { "ci_high": 0.20660824528259575, "ci_low": 0.09421239119467756, "coef": 0.15041031823863665, "endog": "treat_actual", "instrument": "treat_assign", "p": 1.7605899673074598e-7, "se": 0.028647269858170236, "t": 5.250424175961726 } ], "reduced_form": [ { "ci_high": 0.006303855283519944, "ci_low": -0.05711116983588663, "coef": -0.02540365727618334, "instrument": "treat_assign", "p": 0.11625288212587427, "se": 0.016163116979717528, "t": -1.57170534050217 } ] }- Digests dos dados
ref_iv7d61c3ca2820695850a004a3f562adc84c8c7616c63bd9cf034254497c8c4fda- sha256 do resultado
038135a6da328666810b6a2ba65cb88495f05993293b7f599a35867dffa9d310
- 8Turno do modelo
call_442d653breferenceFim:tool_use0 ms0 de entrada · 0 de saída · 0 de raciocínio · 0 em cacheChamadas pedidassubmit_answer(meta-ferramenta){ "answer": "Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.treat_actual = -0,1689. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.", "caveats": [], "figure_refs": [ "call_097900d4:coef.treat_actual" ] }
- 9Guardaresposta aceita
- Números encontrados
- -0,1689
- Sem lastro
- —
- Não citados
- —
1 nova(s) tentativa(s) restante(s) - 10Resposta
Estimativa (infer.iv_2sls): coef.treat_actual = -0,1689. Reference path transcribed from the item's own estimation script.
Figuras citadas:call_097900d4:coef.treat_actual· Parada:answeredFigura da resposta:call_097900d4:coef.treat_actual= -0,168896-0.16889570857684477(se 0,1098630.10986309995036375) - 11Pontuação#0resposta com lastropassouobrigatória
every number backed - 12Pontuação#1figura da resposta próximapassouobrigatória
-0.1688957086 in [-0.3617225472, 0.02393113006]? - 13Pontuação#2figura da resposta próximapassouregistrada
-0.1688957086 vs -0.16889570857702552 - 14Pontuação#3figura da resposta próximafalhouregistrada
0.1098631 vs 0.09838104012319736
Épocas × verificações
| # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Época 1 | passou | passou | passou | falhou |
Tentativas
Cada tentativa é seu próprio arquivo e é publicada; só a última de cada época é pontuada.
- época 1, tentativa 1passoupontuada(exibindo)
Downloads desta tarefa
8dffbb940504ce183fb9f0faba7afa90eabb4e90642988086ac051ccd523b0e4O hash de um zip é só de transporte: o que ancora a integridade é o RUN_SHA256SUMS que vai dentro dele, cópia exata do SHA256SUMS da execução.
| Arquivo | Tamanho | sha256 |
|---|---|---|
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| sources/crb_papers.q074.script.json | 1,1 KB | 0a9553d97fcdb029cd8406b02dbf462b402e1a60b61ad3217230acba4abab018 |
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